Match Info

EUROPE: Europa League - Play Offs - 1/16-finals

Date: 13 February 2025, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Toumba Stadium (Thessaloniki) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Visser L. (Bel)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, New World Sport App, SuperSport Football, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport MaXimo 2
Argentina	17:00	ESPN 3
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
Australia	07:00	Stan Sport
Austria	21:00	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 4
Bulgaria	22:00	BTV Action, Voyo
Canada	15:00	DAZN Canada
China	04:00	ZhiBo8
Croatia	21:00	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	22:00	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Denmark	21:00	Disney+
Finland	22:00	Viaplay
France	21:00	Canal+ Live 2
Germany	21:00	RTL+, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Mix, Sky Sport Top event, WOW
Greece	22:00	ANT 1+, COSMOTE Sport 3, Cosmote Sport 4K
Iceland	20:00	Viaplay
Indonesia	03:00	beIN Connect, Vidio
Italy	21:00	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 255
Laos	03:00	beIN Connect
Malta	21:00	GO TV, TSN Malta 8
Mexico	14:00	ESPN 4
Netherlands	21:00	Ziggo Sport 6
New Zealand	09:00	DAZN New Zealand
North Central America	—	SportsMax 2 Caribbean, SportsMax App Caribbean
North Macedonia	21:00	MaxTV GO
Norway	21:00	Viaplay
Philippines	04:00	beIN Connect
Poland	21:00	Polsat Sport Premium 3
Portugal	20:00	DAZN 4
Romania	22:00	Digi Online, Digi Sport 1, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1
Russia	23:00	Okko Sport
Serbia	21:00	Arena Sport 1
South America	—	ViX Latin America
Spain	21:00	M+ Liga de Campeones 5
Sweden	21:00	Disney+
Switzerland	21:00	Sky Sport Mix, Sky Sport Top Event
Thailand	03:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 4
Turkey	23:00	Tabii
Ukraine	22:00	MEGOGO Futbol 5
United Kingdom	20:00	Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports 6
Usa	15:00	Paramount+
Vietnam	03:00	ON Plus
International	20:00	Disney+


	PAOK		FCSB

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.75	4.5
	1.78	3.75	4.75	Watch
	1.77	3.79	4.7
	1.81	3.69	4.38	Watch
	1.75	3.7	4.6
	1.81	3.91	4.83
	1.78	3.75	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↑ (1.74)	3.76 ↓ (3.79)	4.64 ↓ (4.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

PAOK
53.9%

Draw
25.5%

FCSB
20.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

55.1%

25.2%

19.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61%

27.9%

17.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

PAOK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

FCSB has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for PAOK than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for PAOK, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for FCSB than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75.3%	13.7%	11%

PAOK - FCSB Predictions

Users Predictions: 71 users predict this event. PAOK will win (votes: 53 - 74.6%). FCSB will win (votes: 8 - 11.3%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 14.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for PAOK: 64.5% – 84.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
42. Kotarski D. (G) 19. Jonny Otto 16. Kedziora T. 5. Michailidis G. 21. Baba A. R. 82. Meite S. 22. Schwab S. (C) 80. Pelkas D. 7. Konstantelias G. 11. Taison 70. Samatta A.	32. Tarnovanu S. (G) 2. Cretu V. 30. Ngezana S. 17. Popescu M. 33. Radunovic R. 21. Chiriches V. 8. Sut A. (C) 11. Miculescu D. 31. Cisotti J. 7. Tanase F. 9. Birligea D.
Substitutes
54. Balomenos K. (G) 2. Camara M. 9. Chalov F. 15. Colley O. 77. Despodov K. 27. Ozdoev M. 23. Sastre J. 47. Shoretire S. 71. Thomas B. 25. Thymianis K. 99. Tsiftsis A. (G) 14. Zivkovic A.	42. Alhassan B. 25. Baluta A. 5. Dawa J. 18. Edjouma M. 77. Gheorghita A. 29. Musi A. 28. Pantea A. 15. Stefanescu M. 1. Udrea M. (G) 38. Zima L. (G)
Coaches
Lucescu R.	Charalambous E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
14', Pelkas D. 🟨,
21', 1 - 0, Samatta A. ⚽, Pelkas D. (A),
33', Taison 🟨,
40', Michailidis G. ↓, Colley O. ↑,
45+5', Taison 🟨,
45+5', Ngezana S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Ngezana S. ↓, Dawa J. ↑,
46', Miculescu D. ↓, Gheorghita A. ↑,
50', 1 - 1, Gheorghita A. ⚽, Tanase F. (A),
52', Chiriches V. 🟨,
52', Birligea D. 🟨,
56', Chiriches V. ↓, Edjouma M. ↑,
60', 1 - 2, Dawa J. ⚽, Radunovic R. (A),
61', Samatta A. ↓, Thomas B. ↑,
61', Pelkas D. ↓, Despodov K. ↑,
65', Gheorghita A. 🟨,
68', Birligea D. ↓, Alhassan B. ↑,
69', Meite S. ↓, Ozdoev M. ↑,
69', Schwab S. ↓, Camara M. ↑,
72', Radunovic R. 🟨,
75', Edjouma M. 🟨,
78', Sut A. 🟨,
83', Cisotti J. ↓, Stefanescu M. ↑,

Preview

1st leg.

Two teams are playing changeable.

PAOK could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match PAOK is a favorite.

There will not play in PAOK: Bakayoko T. (Inactive) Chalov F. (Inactive) Despodov K. (Injury) Gomez J. (Inactive) Lovren D. (Inactive) Monastirlis D. (Muscle Injury) Pavlenka J. (Inactive) Pena S. (Inactive) Vieirinha (Inactive) Wieteska M. (Inactive) Zivkovic A. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in FCSB: Lixandru M. (Injury) Olaru D. (Shoulder Injury) Popescu O. (Injury)

There are questionable in FCSB: Cercel I. (Injury)

Last 4 head-to-head matches PAOK won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6:7 (average 1.5:1.8).

Including matches at home between the teams PAOK won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:2 (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- PAOK FC
Greek Super League
08.02.25	OFI - PAOK	0:5 ✺
02.02.25	PAOK - AEK Athens	1:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
30.01.25	Real Sociedad - PAOK	2:0 ✺
Greek Super League
26.01.25	PAOK - Levadiakos	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
23.01.25	PAOK - Slavia Prague	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WLLWW
- FCSB
Romanian SuperLiga
09.02.25	FCSB - Sepsi OSK	3:0 ✺
06.02.25	Petrolul Ploieşti - FCSB	0:0 ✺
02.02.25	FCSB - CFR Cluj	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
30.01.25	FCSB - Manchester United	0:2 ✺
Romanian SuperLiga
26.01.25	UTA Arad - FCSB	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 WTTLW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa League
03.10.24	PAOK - FCSB	0:1
Club Friendly
05.07.23	FCSB - PAOK	1:1
09.07.18	PAOK - FCSB	2:1
13.07.16	FCSB - PAOK	4:3

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