Match Info

EUROPE: Europa League - Play Offs - 1/16-finals

Date: 13 February 2025, Thursday

Location: Toumba Stadium (Thessaloniki)

Referee: Visser L. (Bel)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, New World Sport App, SuperSport Football, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport MaXimo 2
Argentina	ESPN 3
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 4
Bulgaria	BTV Action, Voyo
Canada	DAZN Canada
China	ZhiBo8
Croatia	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Denmark	Disney+
Finland	Viaplay
France	Canal+ Live 2
Germany	RTL+, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Mix, Sky Sport Top event, WOW
Greece	ANT 1+, COSMOTE Sport 3, Cosmote Sport 4K
Iceland	Viaplay
Indonesia	beIN Connect, Vidio
Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 255
Laos	beIN Connect
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 8
Mexico	ESPN 4
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 6
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
North-central-america	SportsMax 2 Caribbean, SportsMax App Caribbean
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	Viaplay
Philippines	beIN Connect
Poland	Polsat Sport Premium 3
Portugal	DAZN 4
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 1, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Sport 1
South-america	ViX Latin America
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones 5
Sweden	Disney+
Switzerland	Sky Sport Mix, Sky Sport Top Event
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 4
Turkey	Tabii
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 5
United-kingdom	Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports 6
Usa	Paramount+
Vietnam	ON Plus
World	Disney+


	PAOK		FCSB

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.75	4.5
	1.78	3.75	4.75	Watch
	1.77	3.79	4.7
	1.81	3.69	4.38	Watch
	1.75	3.7	4.6
	1.81	3.91	4.83
	1.78	3.75	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↑ (1.74)	3.76 ↓ (3.79)	4.64 ↓ (4.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

PAOK
53.9%

Draw
25.5%

FCSB
20.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.1%

25.2%

19.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61%

27.9%

17.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

PAOK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

FCSB has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for PAOK than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for PAOK, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for FCSB than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75.3%	13.7%	11%

PAOK - FCSB Predictions

Users Predictions: 71 users predict this event. PAOK will win (votes: 53 - 74.6%). FCSB will win (votes: 8 - 11.3%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 14.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for PAOK: 64.5% – 84.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
42. Kotarski D. (G) 19. Jonny Otto 16. Kedziora T. 5. Michailidis G. 21. Baba A. R. 82. Meite S. 22. Schwab S. (C) 80. Pelkas D. 7. Konstantelias G. 11. Taison 70. Samatta A.	32. Tarnovanu S. (G) 2. Cretu V. 30. Ngezana S. 17. Popescu M. 33. Radunovic R. 21. Chiriches V. 8. Sut A. (C) 11. Miculescu D. 31. Cisotti J. 7. Tanase F. 9. Birligea D.
Substitutes
54. Balomenos K. (G) 2. Camara M. 9. Chalov F. 15. Colley O. 77. Despodov K. 27. Ozdoev M. 23. Sastre J. 47. Shoretire S. 71. Thomas B. 25. Thymianis K. 99. Tsiftsis A. (G) 14. Zivkovic A.	42. Alhassan B. 25. Baluta A. 5. Dawa J. 18. Edjouma M. 77. Gheorghita A. 29. Musi A. 28. Pantea A. 15. Stefanescu M. 1. Udrea M. (G) 38. Zima L. (G)
Coaches
Lucescu R.	Charalambous E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
14', Pelkas D. 🟨,
21', 1 - 0, Samatta A. ⚽, Pelkas D. (A),
33', Taison 🟨,
40', Michailidis G. ↓, Colley O. ↑,
45+5', Taison 🟨,
45+5', Ngezana S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Ngezana S. ↓, Dawa J. ↑,
46', Miculescu D. ↓, Gheorghita A. ↑,
50', 1 - 1, Gheorghita A. ⚽, Tanase F. (A),
52', Chiriches V. 🟨,
52', Birligea D. 🟨,
56', Chiriches V. ↓, Edjouma M. ↑,
60', 1 - 2, Dawa J. ⚽, Radunovic R. (A),
61', Samatta A. ↓, Thomas B. ↑,
61', Pelkas D. ↓, Despodov K. ↑,
65', Gheorghita A. 🟨,
68', Birligea D. ↓, Alhassan B. ↑,
69', Meite S. ↓, Ozdoev M. ↑,
69', Schwab S. ↓, Camara M. ↑,
72', Radunovic R. 🟨,
75', Edjouma M. 🟨,
78', Sut A. 🟨,
83', Cisotti J. ↓, Stefanescu M. ↑,

Preview

1st leg.

Two teams are playing changeable.

PAOK could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match PAOK is a favorite.

There will not play in PAOK: Bakayoko T. (Inactive) Chalov F. (Inactive) Despodov K. (Injury) Gomez J. (Inactive) Lovren D. (Inactive) Monastirlis D. (Muscle Injury) Pavlenka J. (Inactive) Pena S. (Inactive) Vieirinha (Inactive) Wieteska M. (Inactive) Zivkovic A. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in FCSB: Lixandru M. (Injury) Olaru D. (Shoulder Injury) Popescu O. (Injury)

There are questionable in FCSB: Cercel I. (Injury)

Last 4 head-to-head matches PAOK won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6:7 (average 1.5:1.8).

Including matches at home between the teams PAOK won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:2 (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- PAOK FC
Greek Super League
08.02.25	OFI - PAOK	0:5 ✺
02.02.25	PAOK - AEK Athens	1:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
30.01.25	Real Sociedad - PAOK	2:0 ✺
Greek Super League
26.01.25	PAOK - Levadiakos	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
23.01.25	PAOK - Slavia Prague	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WLLWW
- FCSB
Romanian SuperLiga
09.02.25	FCSB - Sepsi OSK	3:0 ✺
06.02.25	Petrolul Ploieşti - FCSB	0:0 ✺
02.02.25	FCSB - CFR Cluj	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
30.01.25	FCSB - Manchester United	0:2 ✺
Romanian SuperLiga
26.01.25	UTA Arad - FCSB	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 WTTLW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa League
03.10.24	PAOK - FCSB	0:1
Club Friendly
05.07.23	FCSB - PAOK	1:1
09.07.18	PAOK - FCSB	2:1
13.07.16	FCSB - PAOK	4:3

Upcoming Matches