Match Info

Veikkausliiga - Round 10

Date: 13 June 2026, Saturday

Location: Project Liv Arena (Pietarsaari)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Ruutu+
World	Onefootball


	FF Jaro		HJK

	1	X	2
	5.00	4.20	1.57	Watch
	5.00	4.10	1.60
	5.10	4.00	1.56	Watch
	5.65	4.58	1.57
	5.2	4.41	1.58	Watch
	4.80	4.00	1.57
	5.06	4.30	1.57	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.12 ↑ (4.74)	4.23 ↑ (3.85)	1.57 ↓ (1.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

FF Jaro
18.3%

Draw
22.2%

HJK
59.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.7%

24.3%

56%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19%

23.4%

58.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

FF Jaro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

HJK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for FF Jaro than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for HJK than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
7.1%	28.6%	64.3%

FF Jaro - HJK Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Jaro will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). HJK will win (votes: 9 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for HJK: 50.5% – 99.5%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (1.67) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.75 - HJK (1.70) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. HJK (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Vits S. (G) 4. Ogungbaro M. 3. Gunnarsson E. (C) 6. Brunell J. 5. Bjonback A. 7. Skau J. 8. Kass Kawo O. 19. Ness F. O. 11. Sjogrell H. 26. Pedersen M. 91. Vuorinen V.	44. Markovic M. (G) 2. Lyons-Foster B. 31. Bogicevic M. 6. Tikkanen V. 14. Montano L. 10. Lingman L. 4. Ring A. (C) 15. Kallinen J. 26. Lappalainen L. 20. Pukki T. 18. Mero T.
Substitutes
22. Harden K. 2. Kass F. 24. Lofs V. 95. Mendy E. 17. Nyman L. 12. Snellman J. (G) 16. Vidjeskog A. 27. Vikstrom J. 15. Vikstrom R.	9. Borchers M. 3. Cissokho T. 19. Ezeh D. 11. Hudd R. 17. Kirilov M. 24. Levealahti E. 22. Moller L. 1. Ost J. (G) 28. Ylitolva M.
Coaches
Karlsson J.	Rantanen J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
4', 1 - 0, Ness F. O. ⚽, Kass Kawo O. (A),
10', Pedersen M. ↓, Harden K. ↑,
17', 2 - 0, Harden K. ⚽, Vuorinen V. (A),
20', Vuorinen V. 🟨,
29', 2 - 1, Ring A. ⚽, Pukki T. (A),
41', Mero T. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 4)
46', Bjonback A. ↓, Vikstrom J. ↑,
46', Lyons-Foster B. ↓, Ylitolva M. ↑,
46', Lappalainen L. ↓, Moller L. ↑,
46', Bogicevic M. ↓, Cissokho T. ↑,
46', Mero T. ↓, Borchers M. ↑,
57', 2 - 2, Tikkanen V. ⚽, Pukki T. (A),
59', Vuorinen V. ↓, Vikstrom R. ↑,
65', 2 - 3, Ylitolva M. ⚽,
69', 2 - 4, Borchers M. ⚽, Moller L. (A),
72', Brunell J. ↓, Vidjeskog A. ↑,
77', Pukki T. ↓, Kirilov M. ↑,
78', Kass Kawo O. 🟨,
82', Ogungbaro M. 🟥,
84', 2 - 5, Borchers M. ⚽, Kirilov M. (A),
87', Kirilov M. 🟨,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 10 in the zone Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Veikkausliiga (Championship Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jaro won 1.

Recent form of Jaro has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

HJK is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Jaro may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Jaro has had a series of away games.

In this match, HJK is a strong favorite.

There will not play in HJK: Cissokho T. (Inactive) Mentu P. (Inactive) Nylund A. (Inactive) Simojoki K. (Inactive) Toivonen E. (Injury)

There are questionable in Jaro: Myrevik J. (Inactive)

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Jaro won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 9:32. (average 0.6:2.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Jaro won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 5:18. (average 0.7:2.6).

Outrights of Finnish Veikkausliiga for now

HJK: 12.87%

Standings

Championship Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	HJK	26	13	6	7	45:29	16	45

Last Results with these Odds

HJK - the odds 1.67 are the expected chance of winning is 55.98%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FF Jaro
Finnish Veikkausliiga
31.05.26	Oulu - FF Jaro	2:1 ✺
23.05.26	FF Jaro - IFK Mariehamn	3:0 ✺
20.05.26	KuPS Kuopio - FF Jaro	3:0 ✺
16.05.26	Gnistan - FF Jaro	5:0 ✺
Finnish Cup
13.05.26	VJS Vantaa - FF Jaro	5:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 LWLLL
- HJK Helsinki
Finnish Cup
09.06.26	Honka - HJK	1:7 ✺
Finnish Veikkausliiga
30.05.26	HJK - IFK Mariehamn	1:0 ✺
Finnish Cup
26.05.26	HJK - MYPA	11:1 ✺
Finnish Veikkausliiga
22.05.26	VPS Vaasa - HJK	2:1 ✺
16.05.26	HJK - Ilves	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 WWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Veikkausliiga
02.07.25	HJK - FF Jaro	2:3
11.05.25	FF Jaro - HJK	0:3
13.09.15	FF Jaro - HJK	1:1
22.06.15	HJK - FF Jaro	4:0
03.05.15	HJK - FF Jaro	3:0
31.08.14	FF Jaro - HJK	1:4
08.06.14	FF Jaro - HJK	0:2

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