Match Info

Veikkausliiga - Round 15

Date: 20 May 2026, Wednesday

Location: Vare Areena (Kuopio)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Ruutu+
World	Onefootball


	KuPS Kuopio		FF Jaro

	1	X	2
	1.36	4.75	7	Watch
	1.38	4.8	7.5
	1.37	4.45	8.3	Watch
	1.38	4.92	7.94
	1.38	4.93	7.7	Watch
	1.36	4.5	7.5
	1.37	4.8	7.75	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↓ (1.39)	4.74 ↑ (4.6)	7.67 ↑ (6.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

KuPS Kuopio
68.1%

Draw
19.7%

FF Jaro
12.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.5%

20.1%

13.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.6%

18.9%

12.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

KuPS Kuopio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

FF Jaro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for KuPS Kuopio than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for FF Jaro than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

KuPS Kuopio - FF Jaro Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. KuPS will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Jaro will win (votes: 1 - 20%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kreidl J. (G) 6. Savolainen S. 28. Magassa B. 23. Lotjonen A. 25. Antwi C. 13. Kujasalo N. 8. Pennanen P. (C) 3. Heiskanen S. 34. Ruoppi O. 24. Armah B. 9. Engvall G.	1. Vits S. (G) 4. Ogungbaro M. 7. Skau J. 3. Gunnarsson E. (C) 5. Bjonback A. 8. Kass Kawo O. 26. Pedersen M. 19. Ness F. O. 27. Vikstrom J. 11. Sjogrell H. 15. Vikstrom R.
Substitutes
4. Adams K. 10. Gasc V. R. 33. Hamalainen T. 21. Luyeye-Lutumba J. 29. Puukko A. 12. Riihimaki H. (G) 20. Soumahoro S. 32. Tikkanen R. 2. Ward K.	22. Harden K. 2. Kass F. 24. Lofs V. 95. Mendy E. 21. Myrevik J. 17. Nyman L. 12. Snellman J. (G) 16. Vidjeskog A. 91. Vuorinen V.
Coaches
Nuutinen M.	Karlsson J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
34', 1 - 0, Armah B. ⚽, Engvall G. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
50', 2 - 0, Armah B. ⚽, Heiskanen S. (A),
55', Vikstrom J. ↓, Vuorinen V. ↑,
55', Bjonback A. ↓, Myrevik J. ↑,
61', Engvall G. ↓, Luyeye-Lutumba J. ↑,
61', Savolainen S. ↓, Hamalainen T. ↑,
61', Kujasalo N. ↓, Gasc V. R. ↑,
66', Magassa B. ↓, Puukko A. ↑,
68', Kass Kawo O. ↓, Vidjeskog A. ↑,
68', Sjogrell H. ↓, Harden K. ↑,
71', Myrevik J. 🟨,
79', Vikstrom R. ↓, Mendy E. ↑,
86', 3 - 0, Gasc V. R. ⚽, Luyeye-Lutumba J. (A),
86', Armah B. ↓, Soumahoro S. ↑,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Veikkausliiga (Championship Group: ) and 12 in the zone Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, KuPS won 3.

KuPS has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Jaro is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Jaro may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Jaro has had a series of away games.

In this match, KuPS is the obvious favorite.

There will not play in KuPS: Pasanen S. (Injury) Voutilainen J. (Inactive)

There will not play in Jaro: Brunell J. (Injury) Weckstrom L. (Inactive)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, KuPS won 8 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 34:25. (average 1.7:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, KuPS won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 23:14. (average 2.1:1.3).

Outrights of Finnish Veikkausliiga for now

KuPS: 37.15%

Standings

Championship Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	KuPS	26	13	9	4	41:25	16	48

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KuPS Kuopio
Finnish Veikkausliiga
16.05.26	IFK Mariehamn - KuPS Kuopio	1:1 ✺
Finnish Cup
12.05.26	PK-35 Vantaa - KuPS Kuopio	0:2 ✺
Finnish Veikkausliiga
08.05.26	KuPS Kuopio - SJK	0:0 ✺
02.05.26	Oulu - KuPS Kuopio	2:0 ✺
26.04.26	KuPS Kuopio - HJK	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 TWTLT
- FF Jaro
Finnish Veikkausliiga
16.05.26	Gnistan - FF Jaro	5:0 ✺
Finnish Cup
13.05.26	VJS Vantaa - FF Jaro	5:3 ✺
Finnish Veikkausliiga
09.05.26	Inter Turku - FF Jaro	2:0 ✺
02.05.26	FF Jaro - TPS	2:2 ✺
Finnish Cup
28.04.26	GBK Kokkola - FF Jaro	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.2 LLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Veikkausliiga
18.04.26	FF Jaro - KuPS Kuopio	1:1
Finnish Veikkausliiga Liiga Cup
22.02.26	KuPS Kuopio - FF Jaro	3:4
Finnish Cup
10.09.25	KuPS Kuopio - FF Jaro	2:0
Finnish Veikkausliiga
24.08.25	FF Jaro - KuPS Kuopio	1:3
19.04.25	KuPS Kuopio - FF Jaro	1:0
Finnish Veikkausliiga Liiga Cup
08.02.25	FF Jaro - KuPS Kuopio	0:0
Club Friendly
09.03.24	KuPS Kuopio - FF Jaro	4:1

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