Match Info

Veikkausliiga - Round 9

Date: 30 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Bolt Arena (Helsinki)

Referee: Hyytia J. (Fin)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Ruutu+
World	Onefootball


	HJK		IFK Mariehamn

	1	X	2
	1.17	6.5	12	Watch
	1.23	6.5	10.5
	1.17	6.9	14.5	Watch
	1.19	8.05	15
	1.21	7.4	11.35	Watch
	1.17	7	13
	1.18	6.86	12.7	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.19 ↓ (1.21)	7.03 ↑ (6.49)	12.72 ↑ (11.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

HJK
79.2%

Draw
13.4%

IFK Mariehamn
7.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

77.6%

14.5%

7.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

HJK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

IFK Mariehamn has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	14.3%	0%

HJK - IFK Mariehamn Predictions

Users Predictions: HJK will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
44. Markovic M. (G) 28. Ylitolva M. 6. Tikkanen V. 24. Levealahti E. 14. Montano L. 22. Moller L. 4. Ring A. (C) 10. Lingman L. 9. Borchers M. 19. Ezeh D. 7. Cicale A.	1. Lund K. (G) 38. Amankwah Y. 5. Koivisto T. 4. Lindgren P. 31. Ngulube S. 28. Nissinen J. 2. Nurmi N. 20. Patut E. 10. Dahlstrom S. (C) 43. Andersson L. 64. Hyvonen M.
Substitutes
31. Bogicevic M. 11. Hudd R. 15. Kallinen J. 17. Kirilov M. 2. Lyons-Foster B. 18. Mero T. 1. Ost J. (G) 20. Pukki T.	6. Dosis N. 15. Heyden J. 16. Huttunen A. 11. Pearce L. 32. Riikonen M. (G) 3. Soiniemi A.
Coaches
Rantanen J.	Wargh J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
20', Andersson L. 🟨,
28', Nurmi N. 🟨,
40', Lingman L. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
48', 1 - 0, Ring A. (Penalty Awarded),
61', Borchers M. ↓, Kirilov M. ↑,
61', Moller L. ↓, Pukki T. ↑,
63', Patut E. 🟨,
67', Patut E. ↓, Dosis N. ↑,
67', Nurmi N. ↓, Heyden J. ↑,
71', Ezeh D. ↓, Mero T. ↑,
76', Ngulube S. ↓, Soiniemi A. ↑,
76', Andersson L. ↓, Pearce L. ↑,
77', Ring A. ↓, Kallinen J. ↑,
77', Montano L. ↓, Lyons-Foster B. ↑,
77', Hyvonen M. ↓, Huttunen A. ↑,
90+5', Kirilov M. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Veikkausliiga (Championship Group: ) and 12 in the zone Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, HJK won 4.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

HJK may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, HJK is the obvious favorite.

There will not play in HJK: Toivonen E. (Injury)

There will not play in Mariehamn: Bergvik A. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, HJK won 15 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 49:17. (average 2.5:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, HJK won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 36:14. (average 2.6:1).

Outrights of Finnish Veikkausliiga for now

HJK: 12.87%

Standings

Championship Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	HJK	26	13	6	7	45:29	16	45

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HJK Helsinki
Finnish Cup
26.05.26	HJK - MYPA	11:1 ✺
Finnish Veikkausliiga
22.05.26	VPS Vaasa - HJK	2:1 ✺
16.05.26	HJK - Ilves	2:2 ✺
Finnish Cup
13.05.26	RoPS - HJK	0:4 ✺
Finnish Veikkausliiga
08.05.26	TPS - HJK	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.2 WLTWL
- IFK Mariehamn
Finnish Cup
26.05.26	IFK Mariehamn - Lahti	0:1 ✺
Finnish Veikkausliiga
23.05.26	FF Jaro - IFK Mariehamn	3:0 ✺
16.05.26	IFK Mariehamn - KuPS Kuopio	1:1 ✺
Finnish Cup
13.05.26	IFK Mariehamn - Puistolan Urheilijat	3:0 ✺
Finnish Veikkausliiga
10.05.26	Lahti - IFK Mariehamn	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 LLTWT

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Veikkausliiga Liiga Cup
16.01.26	HJK - IFK Mariehamn	0:1
Finnish Veikkausliiga
24.08.25	HJK - IFK Mariehamn	8:2
24.05.25	IFK Mariehamn - HJK	0:4
Finnish Veikkausliiga Liiga Cup
14.02.25	HJK - IFK Mariehamn	2:1
Finnish Veikkausliiga
30.06.24	IFK Mariehamn - HJK	1:2
20.04.24	HJK - IFK Mariehamn	2:1
Finnish Veikkausliiga Liiga Cup
26.01.24	HJK - IFK Mariehamn	1:0

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