Match Info

Veikkausliiga - Round 5

Date: 2 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Project Liv Arena (Jakobstad)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Ruutu+
World	Onefootball


	FF Jaro		TPS

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.6	3.1	Watch
	2.2	3.6	2.9
	2.18	3.45	3.05	Watch
	2.26	3.63	3.18
	2.2	3.65	3.06	Watch
	2.2	3.3	3
	2.2	3.52	3.05	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↓ (2.24)	3.54 ↓ (3.68)	3.05 ↑ (2.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

FF Jaro
42.7%

Draw
26.5%

TPS
30.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.1%

25.6%

32.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.2%

26.8%

30.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

FF Jaro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

TPS has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for FF Jaro than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

The ML Model estimate for TPS aligns with the current prediction.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	33.3%	66.7%

FF Jaro - TPS Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. TPS will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Vits S. (G) 5. Bjonback A. 4. Ogungbaro M. 3. Gunnarsson E. (C) 19. Ness F. O. 7. Skau J. 26. Pedersen M. 8. Kass Kawo O. 11. Sjogrell H. 9. Zetterstrom L. 10. Weckstrom L.	1. Henriksson E. (G) 2. Haggstrom O. 14. Hradecky M. 3. Turkki E. 77. Karkulowski T. 22. Zaal T. 6. Juvanteny P. 29. Muzaci A. (C) 10. Konkkola M. 11. Vauhkonen E. 13. Tsirigotis T.
Substitutes
22. Harden K. 2. Kass F. 21. Myrevik J. 17. Nyman L. 12. Snellman J. (G) 16. Vidjeskog A. 27. Vikstrom J. 15. Vikstrom R. 91. Vuorinen V.	41. Anini S. 15. Azongnitode C. 8. Coulibaly A. 26. Ikonen L. 20. Kauppila M. 35. Lauri D. (G) 4. Sairinen A. 17. Sihvonen A. 28. Vakiparta T.
Coaches
Karlsson J.	Pinol I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
32', 1 - 0, Sjogrell H. ⚽, Pedersen M. (A),
43', Karkulowski T. 🟨,
45+2', 1 - 1, Muzaci A. ⚽, Hradecky M. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
52', Haggstrom O. 🟨,
54', 2 - 1, Sjogrell H. (Penalty Awarded),
61', Karkulowski T. ↓, Sihvonen A. ↑,
61', Haggstrom O. ↓, Kauppila M. ↑,
62', Pedersen M. ↓, Harden K. ↑,
68', Sjogrell H. ↓, Vuorinen V. ↑,
69', Weckstrom L. ↓, Vikstrom R. ↑,
69', Bjonback A. ↓, Myrevik J. ↑,
73', Turkki E. 🟨,
82', Ogungbaro M. 🟨,
83', Vauhkonen E. ↓, Anini S. ↑,
83', Juvanteny P. ↓, Ikonen L. ↑,
83', Kass Kawo O. ↓, Vidjeskog A. ↑,
90', Vidjeskog A. 🟨,
90', 2 - 2, Tsirigotis T. ⚽, Turkki E. (A),
90+3', Ikonen L. 🟨,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 9 in the zone Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Veikkausliiga (Championship Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jaro won 2.

Jaro is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

TPS is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Recently, Jaro has had a series of away games.

Jaro will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Jaro: Brunell J. (Injury)

There are questionable in Jaro: Pedersen M. (Inactive)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Jaro won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 20:40. (average 1:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Jaro won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 5:12. (average 0.8:2).

Last Results with these Odds

FF Jaro - the odds 2.24 are the expected chance of winning is 42.1%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FF Jaro
Finnish Cup
28.04.26	GBK Kokkola - FF Jaro	0:2 ✺
Finnish Veikkausliiga
24.04.26	SJK - FF Jaro	1:1 ✺
18.04.26	FF Jaro - KuPS Kuopio	1:1 ✺
Finnish Cup
15.04.26	Oulu - FF Jaro	1:2 ✺
Finnish Veikkausliiga
10.04.26	VPS Vaasa - FF Jaro	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.7 WTTWT
- TPS
Finnish Cup
28.04.26	Salon Palloilijat - TPS	1:2 penalties ✺
Finnish Veikkausliiga
24.04.26	TPS - Gnistan	1:1 ✺
18.04.26	TPS - SJK	2:0 ✺
Finnish Cup
15.04.26	Ekenäs - TPS	1:2 ✺
Finnish Veikkausliiga
10.04.26	TPS - Lahti	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Ykkosliiga
03.10.24	TPS - FF Jaro	3:0
02.06.24	FF Jaro - TPS	0:1
13.04.24	TPS - FF Jaro	0:2
Finnish Ykkoscup
03.02.24	TPS - FF Jaro	0:3
Finnish Ykkonen
14.07.23	TPS - FF Jaro	4:0
07.05.23	FF Jaro - TPS	3:3
Finnish Veikkausliiga
17.10.22	TPS - FF Jaro	4:0

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