Match Info

Veikkausliiga - Round 3

Date: 18 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Project Liv Arena (Jakobstad)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Ruutu+
World	Onefootball


	FF Jaro		KuPS Kuopio

	1	X	2
	5.5	3.8	1.55	Watch
	4.95	4.15	1.58	Watch
	5.58	4.42	1.6
	5.05	4.42	1.59	Watch
	4.8	3.9	1.57
	5.61	3.87	1.58	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.25 ↑ (4.75)	4.09 ↓ (4.15)	1.58 ↓ (1.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

FF Jaro
17.8%

Draw
22.9%

KuPS Kuopio
59.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.7%

22.6%

57.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.6%

21.3%

61.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

FF Jaro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

KuPS Kuopio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for FF Jaro than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for KuPS Kuopio than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

FF Jaro - KuPS Kuopio Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1 - Jaro (1.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Jaro (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Vits S. (G) 5. Bjonback A. 6. Brunell J. 4. Ogungbaro M. 3. Gunnarsson E. (C) 7. Skau J. 8. Kass Kawo O. 19. Ness F. O. 11. Sjogrell H. 9. Zetterstrom L. 15. Vikstrom R.	1. Kreidl J. (G) 24. Armah B. 33. Hamalainen T. 28. Magassa B. 25. Antwi C. 10. Gasc V. R. 34. Ruoppi O. 8. Pennanen P. (C) 21. Luyeye-Lutumba J. 11. Moreno Ciorciari J. J. 9. Engvall G.
Substitutes
22. Harden K. 2. Kass F. 21. Myrevik J. 17. Nyman L. 12. Snellman J. (G) 20. Soderstrom T. 27. Vikstrom J. 91. Vuorinen V. 10. Weckstrom L.	4. Adams K. 17. Heinonen A. 3. Heiskanen S. 13. Kujasalo N. 23. Lotjonen A. 12. Riihimaki H. (G) 6. Savolainen S. 20. Soumahoro S. 18. Tanninen E.
Coaches
Karlsson J.	Nuutinen M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
7', Brunell J. ↓, Myrevik J. ↑,
40', 1 - 0, Vikstrom R. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Armah B. ↓, Savolainen S. ↑,
58', Ness F. O. ↓, Vuorinen V. ↑,
58', Zetterstrom L. ↓, Weckstrom L. ↑,
61', Engvall G. ↓, Heinonen A. ↑,
68', Luyeye-Lutumba J. ↓, Heiskanen S. ↑,
77', Sjogrell H. ↓, Harden K. ↑,
77', Vikstrom R. ↓, Vikstrom J. ↑,
77', Gasc V. R. 🟨,
82', Hamalainen T. ↓, Adams K. ↑,
82', Gasc V. R. ↓, Soumahoro S. ↑,
90', 1 - 1, Moreno Ciorciari J. J. ⚽, Pennanen P. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jaro won 1.

Jaro has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

KuPS is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

KuPS may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, KuPS is considered a favorite.

There are questionable in KuPS: Puukko A. (Injury)

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Jaro won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 24:33. (average 1.3:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Jaro won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:10. (average 1.3:1.3).

Outrights of Finnish Veikkausliiga for now

KuPS: 37.15%

Standings

Championship Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	KuPS	26	13	9	4	41:25	16	48

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FF Jaro
Finnish Cup
15.04.26	Oulu - FF Jaro	1:2 ✺
Finnish Veikkausliiga
10.04.26	VPS Vaasa - FF Jaro	0:0 ✺
04.04.26	FF Jaro - Lahti	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
28.03.26	FF Jaro - Oulu	2:3 ✺
18.03.26	SJK - FF Jaro	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 WTLLL
- KuPS Kuopio
Finnish Veikkausliiga
11.04.26	KuPS Kuopio - Gnistan	1:0 ✺
04.04.26	Ilves - KuPS Kuopio	1:3 ✺
Club Friendly
27.03.26	SJK - KuPS Kuopio	0:0 ✺
21.03.26	KuPS Kuopio - JIPPO	1:0 ✺
Finnish Veikkausliiga Liiga Cup
28.02.26	Oulu - KuPS Kuopio	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Veikkausliiga Liiga Cup
22.02.26	KuPS Kuopio - FF Jaro	3:4
Finnish Cup
10.09.25	KuPS Kuopio - FF Jaro	2:0
Finnish Veikkausliiga
24.08.25	FF Jaro - KuPS Kuopio	1:3
19.04.25	KuPS Kuopio - FF Jaro	1:0
Finnish Veikkausliiga Liiga Cup
08.02.25	FF Jaro - KuPS Kuopio	0:0
Club Friendly
09.03.24	KuPS Kuopio - FF Jaro	4:1
06.03.21	KuPS Kuopio - FF Jaro	5:1

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