Match Info

Campionato Sammarinese - Round 6

Date: 18 October 2025, Saturday


	Faetano		AC Libertas

	1	X	2
	2.38	3.5	2.45
	2.74	3.27	2.29
	2.49	3.52	2.39
	2.16	3.6	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.44 ↑ (2)	3.47 ↓ (3.55)	2.48 ↓ (3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Faetano
37.2%

Draw
26.2%

AC Libertas
36.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.8%

25.3%

29.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.9%

25.2%

29.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Faetano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Faetano's form might have worsened.

AC Libertas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting AC Libertas's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Faetano than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Faetano, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for AC Libertas than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for AC Libertas, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Faetano - AC Libertas Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. AC Libertas (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
2nd Half (1 - 0)

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Faetano won 3.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

AC Libertas may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Faetano won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:8. (average 1.7:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Faetano won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:5. (average 1.5:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Faetano
San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
03.10.25	Cailungo - Faetano	0:1 ✺
28.09.25	Faetano - Pennarossa	1:2 ✺
21.09.25	Folgore - Faetano	2:0 ✺
13.09.25	Faetano - Tre Penne	0:6 ✺
29.08.25	Murata - Faetano	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WLLLW
- AC Libertas
San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
05.10.25	Murata - AC Libertas	1:1 ✺
27.09.25	AC Libertas - San Giovanni	1:0 ✺
San Marino Coppa Titano
23.09.25	Cailungo - AC Libertas	1:1 ✺
San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
19.09.25	AC Libertas - Cailungo	0:1 ✺
14.09.25	Domagnano - AC Libertas	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 TWTLL

Latest Head to Head

San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
02.11.24	Faetano - AC Libertas	3:1
27.01.24	AC Libertas - Faetano	1:3
30.09.23	Faetano - AC Libertas	1:2
29.01.23	AC Libertas - Faetano	2:1
10.09.22	Faetano - AC Libertas	1:0
05.04.22	Faetano - AC Libertas	1:2

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