Match Info

Campionato Sammarinese - Round 24

Date: 7 March 2026, Saturday


	Faetano		San Marino Academy U22

	1	X	2
	2.62	3	2.52
	2.58	3.2	2.47
	2.6	3.28	2.51	Watch
	2.6	2.9	2.5
	2.57	3.15	2.46
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.59 ↑ (1.83)	3.11 ↓ (3.85)	2.49 ↓ (3.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Faetano
34.8%

Draw
29%

San Marino Academy U22
36.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.3%

23.9%

25.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.5%

22.9%

24.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Faetano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Faetano's form might have worsened.

San Marino Academy U22 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting San Marino Academy U22's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Faetano than the current prediction. (+17.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Faetano, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Marino Academy U22 than the current prediction. (-11.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for San Marino Academy U22, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Faetano - San Marino Academy U22 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
4', 0 - 1, Tamagnini S. ⚽, Giulio M. B. (A),
15', 1 - 1, Zonzini K. ⚽,
44', 1 - 2, Ciacci M. ⚽, Renzi P. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
48', 2 - 2, Contino A. ⚽, Elia G. (A),
52', 2 - 3, Tamagnini S. ⚽, Markaj L. (A),
72', 2 - 4, Tugliani S. (Own goal),

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 13 and 14).

Faetano has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

San Marino Academy's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, San Marino Academy has had a series of away games.

Faetano might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Faetano won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 7:6. (average 1.8:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Faetano won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:3. (average 3:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
15	San Marino Academy U22	4	0	2	2	1:5	-4	2
16	Faetano	4	0	2	2	1:9	-8	2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Faetano
San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
28.02.26	La Fiorita - Faetano	3:1 ✺
22.02.26	Faetano - Virtus	0:2 ✺
15.02.26	AC Libertas - Faetano	2:1 ✺
10.02.26	Faetano - Cosmos	0:0 ✺
07.02.26	Faetano - Cailungo	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 LLLTW
- San Marino Academy U22
San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
01.03.26	San Marino Academy U22 - Pennarossa	1:1 ✺
22.02.26	Cosmos - San Marino Academy U22	1:0 ✺
14.02.26	Murata - San Marino Academy U22	1:4 ✺
11.02.26	Cailungo - San Marino Academy U22	1:1 ✺
08.02.26	Virtus - San Marino Academy U22	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 TLWTL

Latest Head to Head

San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
09.11.25	San Marino Academy U22 - Faetano	1:1
06.10.24	Faetano - San Marino Academy U22	3:2
12.03.24	Faetano - San Marino Academy U22	3:1
02.12.23	San Marino Academy U22 - Faetano	2:0

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