Match Info

Campionato Sammarinese - Round 21

Date: 14 February 2026, Saturday


	Murata		San Marino Academy U22

	1	X	2
	3.25	3.65	1.88
	3.36	4.21	1.75
	3.11	4.11	1.91	Watch
	3.25	3.8	1.8
	3.46	3.98	1.78
	3.5	3.8	1.78
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.32 ↑ (2.55)	3.93 ↑ (3.58)	1.82 ↓ (2.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Murata
27.2%

Draw
23%

San Marino Academy U22
49.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.1%

25.7%

38.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.2%

24.9%

37.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Murata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Murata's form might have worsened.

San Marino Academy U22 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting San Marino Academy U22's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Murata than the current prediction. (+10%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Murata, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Marino Academy U22 than the current prediction. (-12.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for San Marino Academy U22, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Murata - San Marino Academy U22 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
20', 0 - 1, Markaj L. ⚽, Righi A. (A),
43', 0 - 2, Canarezza L. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
79', 0 - 3, Markaj L. ⚽, Domeniconi F. (A),
84', 0 - 4, Markaj L. ⚽, Valentini F. (A),
86', 1 - 4, Tahiri J. ⚽,
86', Gjyla I. 🟥,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 16 and 15).

Both teams have gone through a run of bad results.

Murata may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, San Marino Academy has had a series of away games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Murata won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 16:2. (average 4:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Murata won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Murata	4	1	0	3	4:10	-6	3
15	San Marino Academy U22	4	0	2	2	1:5	-4	2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SS Murata
San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
10.02.26	Murata - Juvenes-Dogana	1:5 ✺
07.02.26	AC Libertas - Murata	3:1 ✺
31.01.26	Folgore - Murata	3:2 ✺
24.01.26	Murata - La Fiorita	0:2 ✺
20.01.26	Murata - Cailungo	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- San Marino Academy U22
San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
11.02.26	Cailungo - San Marino Academy U22	1:1 ✺
08.02.26	Virtus - San Marino Academy U22	3:0 ✺
01.02.26	Tre Fiori - San Marino Academy U22	2:0 ✺
25.01.26	San Marino Academy U22 - Tre Penne	2:3 ✺
21.01.26	La Fiorita - San Marino Academy U22	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
19.10.25	San Marino Academy U22 - Murata	1:5
16.03.25	San Marino Academy U22 - Murata	1:2
13.04.24	San Marino Academy U22 - Murata	0:7
06.01.24	Murata - San Marino Academy U22	2:0

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