Match Info

Campionato Sammarinese - Round 23

Date: 1 March 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


World	FIFA+


	San Marino Academy U22		Pennarossa

	1	X	2
	2.58	3.15	2.45	Watch
	2.62	3.19	2.44
	2.61	3.34	2.47	Watch
	2.5	3	2.45
	2.59	3.18	2.43
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.58 ↑ (2.49)	3.17 ↓ (3.49)	2.45 ↑ (2.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Marino Academy U22
34.9%

Draw
28.4%

Pennarossa
36.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.5%

26%

37.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.4%

25.2%

38.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Marino Academy U22 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Pennarossa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Marino Academy U22 than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pennarossa than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

San Marino Academy U22 - Pennarossa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
68', 0 - 1, Gregori E. ⚽,
80', 1 - 1, Molinari G. ⚽, Casadei M. (A),

Preview

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 14 and 12)

Neither of the teams is performing well right now.

San Marino Academy may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, San Marino Academy has had a series of away games.

Recently, Pennarossa has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, San Marino Academy won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:5. (average 2:1.7).

Including home match between the teams, San Marino Academy won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Pennarossa	4	1	0	3	7:16	-9	3
15	San Marino Academy U22	4	0	2	2	1:5	-4	2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- San Marino Academy U22
San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
22.02.26	Cosmos - San Marino Academy U22	1:0 ✺
14.02.26	Murata - San Marino Academy U22	1:4 ✺
11.02.26	Cailungo - San Marino Academy U22	1:1 ✺
08.02.26	Virtus - San Marino Academy U22	3:0 ✺
01.02.26	Tre Fiori - San Marino Academy U22	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LWTLL
- SS Pennarossa
San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
21.02.26	Pennarossa - Folgore	2:3 ✺
14.02.26	San Giovanni - Pennarossa	3:0 ✺
11.02.26	Pennarossa - Tre Fiori	0:0 ✺
07.02.26	Pennarossa - Tre Penne	1:2 ✺
31.01.26	Pennarossa - Faetano	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.3 LLTLT

Latest Head to Head

San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
02.11.25	Pennarossa - San Marino Academy U22	3:1
12.04.25	Pennarossa - San Marino Academy U22	1:3
14.12.24	San Marino Academy U22 - Pennarossa	2:1

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