Match Info

Date: 14 January 2021, Thursday


	Fafe		BSAD

	1	X	2
	4	3.5	1.8
	3.75	3.5	1.9
	3.5	3.5	1.88
	3.85	3.3	1.87
	4.1	3.58	1.91
	4.2	3.3	1.88
	4.05	3.5	1.91
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.92 ↑ (3.59)	3.45 ↓ (3.5)	1.88 ↓ (1.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fafe
23.7%

Draw
26.9%

BSAD
49.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.7%

26.3%

48%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.9%

17.4%

31.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fafe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

BSAD has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fafe than the current prediction. (+15.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fafe, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for BSAD than the current prediction. (-17.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for BSAD, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
21.4%	17.9%	60.7%

Fafe - BSAD Predictions

Users Predictions: 28 users predict this event. Fafe will win (votes: 6 - 21.4%). BSAD will win (votes: 17 - 60.7%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 17.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for BSAD: 42.6% – 78.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Fafe is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Belenenses is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Belenenses could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Belenenses is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Fafe
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
03.01.21	Fafe - Brito	1:0 ✺
18.12.20	Felgueiras - Fafe	2:1 ✺
Taça de Portugal
12.12.20	Fontinhas - Fafe	1:2 penalties ✺
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
06.12.20	Fafe - Vitoria Guimarães B	1:1 ✺
30.11.20	Rio Ave B - Fafe	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WLWTW
- BSAD
Liga Portugal
10.01.21	BSAD - Paços de Ferreira	0:2 ✺
04.01.21	Gil Vicente - BSAD	0:0 ✺
27.12.20	BSAD - Sporting Lisbon	1:2 ✺
Taça de Portugal
23.12.20	BSAD - SC Espinho	3:0 ET ✺
Liga Portugal
19.12.20	Marítimo - BSAD	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LTLWL

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