Match Info

JAPAN: J2 League - Round 21

Date: 22 June 2024, Saturday

Location: City Light Stadium (Okayama)

Where to Watch on TV:


Japan	DAZN Japan


	Fagiano Okayama		Thespakusatsu Gunma

	1	X	2
	1.5	4.1	5.75	Watch
	1.5	3.7	5.75
	1.53	3.75	6	Watch
	1.55	4.05	6.66
	1.55	4.05	6.66
	1.44	3.8	6.5
	1.51	3.94	6.13	Watch
	1.53	3.9	5.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↓ (1.61)	3.91 ↑ (3.76)	6.16 ↑ (5.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fagiano Okayama
61.2%

Draw
23.7%

Thespakusatsu Gunma
15.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.4%

24.9%

16.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.1%

24.2%

16.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fagiano Okayama has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Thespakusatsu Gunma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fagiano Okayama than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Thespakusatsu Gunma than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.8%	11.1%	11.1%

Fagiano Okayama - Thespakusatsu Gunma Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Okayama will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Thespakusatsu will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Okayama: 50.6% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
49. Brodersen S. (G) 4. Abe K. 5. Yanagi Y. 43. Suzuki Y. 88. Yanagi T. 24. Fujita I. 7. Takeuchi R. 17. Sueyoshi R. 39. Hayakawa J. 19. Iwabuchi H. 99. Lucao	21. Kushibiki M. (G) 3. Ohata R. 2. Shirowa H. 36. Nakashio D. 5. Kawakami C. 15. Kazama K. 50. Kikuchi K. 10. Sato R. 6. Amagasa T. 14. Kawamoto R. 8. Takazawa Y.
Substitutes
55. Fujii Y. 21. Kawakami K. (G) 27. Kimura T. 29. Saito K. 18. Tagami D. 10. Tanaka Y. 6. Wakasa Y.	23. Hiramatsu S. 42. Ishii R. (G) 40. Sagawa K. 24. Sakai S. 11. Sugimoto R. 22. Takahashi Y. 7. Wada M.
Coaches
Kiyama T.	Muto A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
43', Kawamoto R. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
59', Hayakawa J. ↓, Tanaka Y. ↑,
62', Abe K. 🟨,
64', Takazawa Y. ↓, Sagawa K. ↑,
72', Takeuchi R. ↓, Wakasa Y. ↑,
72', Lucao ↓, Kimura T. ↑,
72', Kazama K. ↓, Takahashi Y. ↑,
82', Sato R. ↓, Sugimoto R. ↑,
82', Kawamoto R. ↓, Wada M. ↑,
83', Suzuki Y. ↓, Tagami D. ↑,
83', Iwabuchi H. ↓, Saito K. ↑,
86', 1 - 0, Yanagi Y. ⚽, Tanaka Y. (A),

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ J2 League (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ J3 League).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Okayama won 3.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

In this match Okayama is absolute favorite.

Last 18 head-to-head matches Okayama won 7 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 21-21.

Including matches at home between the teams Okayama won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 11-10.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fagiano Okayama
Japan J2 League
16.06.24	Roasso Kumamoto - Fagiano Okayama	0:1 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
12.06.24	Fagiano Okayama - Ehime	1:7 ✺
Japan J2 League
09.06.24	Fagiano Okayama - Kagoshima United	1:1 ✺
01.06.24	JEF United Chiba - Fagiano Okayama	2:1 ✺
26.05.24	Vegalta Sendai - Fagiano Okayama	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WLTLW
- Thespakusatsu Gunma
Japan J2 League
16.06.24	Thespakusatsu Gunma - Renofa Yamaguchi	0:1 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
12.06.24	Thespakusatsu Gunma - Renofa Yamaguchi	1:2 penalties ✺
Japan J2 League
08.06.24	Tochigi - Thespakusatsu Gunma	1:1 ✺
02.06.24	Thespakusatsu Gunma - Montedio Yamagata	0:0 ✺
26.05.24	Blaublitz Akita - Thespakusatsu Gunma	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 LLTTT

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
24.03.24	Thespakusatsu Gunma - Fagiano Okayama	1:2
08.10.23	Thespakusatsu Gunma - Fagiano Okayama	0:0
21.05.23	Fagiano Okayama - Thespakusatsu Gunma	2:1
28.08.22	Thespakusatsu Gunma - Fagiano Okayama	0:1
15.05.22	Fagiano Okayama - Thespakusatsu Gunma	0:1
18.07.21	Fagiano Okayama - Thespakusatsu Gunma	0:1
21.04.21	Thespakusatsu Gunma - Fagiano Okayama	1:0

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