The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Roasso Kumamoto 31.1%
Draw 29.2%
Fagiano Okayama 39.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
34.6%
29.9%
35.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
34.2%
30.2%
35.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Roasso Kumamoto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)
Fagiano Okayama has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roasso Kumamoto than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fagiano Okayama than the current prediction. (-3.9%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
25%
25%
50%
Roasso Kumamoto - Fagiano Okayama Predictions
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Kumamoto will win (votes: 3 - 25%). Okayama will win (votes: 6 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%). Confidence interval (95%) for Okayama: 21.7% โ 78.3%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Tashiro R. (G) 2. Kuroki K. 24. Ezaki T. 3. Onishi R. 9. Omoto Y. 8. Kamimura S. 15. Mishima S. 19. Konagaya C. 10. Ito S. 17. Fujii K. 20. Osaki S.
49. Brodersen S. (G) 4. Abe K. 5. Yanagi Y. 43. Suzuki Y. 88. Yanagi T. 24. Fujita I. 7. Takeuchi R. 17. Sueyoshi R. 39. Hayakawa J. 19. Iwabuchi H. 99. Lucao
Substitutes
5. Abe K. 11. Bae Jeong-Min 4. Fujita I. 30. Higashiyama T. 28. Kumashiro K. 23. Sato Y. (G) 7. Takemoto Y.
55. Fujii Y. 13. Kanayama J. (G) 27. Kimura T. 29. Saito K. 18. Tagami D. 10. Tanaka Y. 6. Wakasa Y.
Coaches
Oki T.
Kiyama T.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
38', Ito S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
62', Suzuki Y. ↓, Fujii Y. ↑,
70', Lucao ↓, Tanaka Y. ↑,
70', Hayakawa J. ↓, Kimura T. ↑,
70', Kamimura S. 🟨,
77', Ito S. ↓, Higashiyama T. ↑,
77', Omoto Y. ↓, Abe K. ↑,
78', Takeuchi R. 🟨,
83', Takeuchi R. ↓, Wakasa Y. ↑,
84', Iwabuchi H. ↓, Saito K. ↑,
84', Osaki S. ↓, Bae Jeong-Min ↑,
90', Konagaya C. ↓, Takemoto Y. ↑,
90+4', 0 - 1, Sueyoshi R. ⚽,
Preview
An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ J2 League (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Kumamoto won 1.
One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
Kumamoto could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
Last 16 head-to-head matches Kumamoto won 1 matches, drawn 9 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 10-18.
Including matches at home between the teams Kumamoto won 0 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-6.