The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Tochigi 46.7%
Draw 26.6%
Thespakusatsu Gunma 26.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
42.6%
28.7%
28.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
37.6%
25.3%
32.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tochigi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)
Thespakusatsu Gunma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tochigi than the current prediction. (-9.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tochigi that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Thespakusatsu Gunma than the current prediction. (+5.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Thespakusatsu Gunma could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
25%
0%
75%
Tochigi - Thespakusatsu Gunma Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Tochigi will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Thespakusatsu will win (votes: 3 - 75%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
71. Inokoshi Y. (G) 88. Uchida K. 5. Yanagi Y. 25. Iwasaki H. 6. Abe K. 47. Yoshino H. 15. Tsutsumi H. 13. Osone K. 81. Nakano K. 27. Nagai T. 77. Nishino T.
13. Kondo I. (G) 14. Kikuchi K. 3. Ohata R. 30. Koyanagi T. 38. Konishi H. 37. Sehata G. 27. Fujimura R. 19. Farzan Sana M. 17. Hyakuda M. 20. Shimokawa T. 99. Nakashima T.
Substitutes
9. Kondo Y. 40. Meshino S. 80. Otabor K. 21. Sakuraba R. (G) 4. Sato S. 19. Shoji H. 17. Sugimori K. 24. Tabata R. 29. Yano K.
36. Adachi S. 26. Akimoto R. 69. Izuma S. 88. Kim Je-hee (G) 29. Matsumoto K. 22. Nuki M. 2. Tagashira R. 4. Tamashiro T. 18. Tanaka S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (4 - 1)
18', 1 - 0, Osone K. ⚽,
29', 1 - 1, Hyakuda M. ⚽, Sehata G. (A),
35', 2 - 1, Nagai T. ⚽, Abe K. (A),
39', 3 - 1, Nakano K. ⚽, Abe K. (A),
41', Sehata G. 🟨,
42', 4 - 1, Nishino T. ⚽, Abe K. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Sehata G. ↓, Adachi S. ↑,
46', Osone K. ↓, Shoji H. ↑,
49', Tsutsumi H. 🟨,
54', 5 - 1, Nakano K. ⚽, Nagai T. (A),
56', Nagai T. ↓, Sugimori K. ↑,
63', Iwasaki H. 🟨,
69', Fujimura R. ↓, Matsumoto K. ↑,
69', Hyakuda M. ↓, Izuma S. ↑,
71', Kikuchi K. 🟨,
72', Uchida K. ↓, Sato S. ↑,
72', Nishino T. ↓, Kondo Y. ↑,
78', Farzan Sana M. ↓, Tagashira R. ↑,
84', Shimokawa T. ↓, Tamashiro T. ↑,
86', Tsutsumi H. ↓, Meshino S. ↑,
Preview
A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: ) and 10 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tochigi won 2.
In recent matches, Tochigi has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Thespakusatsu is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1).
Thespakusatsu may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Tochigi is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Tochigi won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 19:14. (average 1.1:0.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Tochigi won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:9. (average 1.6:1.1).
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Inokoshi Y. (G) 
Otabor K. 
Kim Je-hee (G) 
