Match Info

IRAN: DIVISION 1 - ROUND 14

Date: 18 November 2022, Friday


	Fajr Sepasi		Shahrdari Hamedan

	1	X	2
	1.83	2.85	4.5
	1.85	2.65	4.7
	1.87	2.65	5.03
	1.85	2.88	4.5
	1.87	2.88	4.6
	1.9	2.75	4.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↓ (1.87)	2.78 ↓ (2.88)	4.71 ↑ (4.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fajr Sepasi
48.4%

Draw
32.5%

Shahrdari Hamedan
19.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.6%

31.6%

19.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55%

35.8%

17.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fajr Sepasi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Shahrdari Hamedan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fajr Sepasi than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fajr Sepasi, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shahrdari Hamedan than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
36.4%	45.5%	18.2%

Fajr Sepasi - Shahrdari Hamedan Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Fajr Sepasi will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). Shahrdari Hamedan will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 45.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 16.1% – 74.9%.

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Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 3 and 8).

Two teams are playing changeable.

In this match Fajr Sepasi is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fajr Sepasi
Iran Division 1
12.11.22	Darya Babol - Fajr Sepasi	3:0 ✺
06.11.22	Fajr Sepasi - Khoosheh Talai	1:2 ✺
31.10.22	Esteghlal Molasani - Fajr Sepasi	1:1 ✺
25.10.22	Fajr Sepasi - Khalij Fars Mahshahr	3:0 ✺
18.10.22	Chooka Talesh - Fajr Sepasi	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LLTWW
- Shahrdari Hamedan
Iran Division 1
12.11.22	Shahrdari Hamedan - Shahrdari Astara	0:0 ✺
06.11.22	Shahrdari Hamedan - Arman Gohar	1:0 ✺
31.10.22	Darya Babol - Shahrdari Hamedan	0:0 ✺
25.10.22	Shahrdari Hamedan - Esteghlal Molasani	0:0 ✺
18.10.22	Khoosheh Talai - Shahrdari Hamedan	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 TWTTT

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