Match Info

FNL - Round 11

Date: 20 September 2025, Saturday

Location: Tsentralnyi Stadion (Krasnoyarsk)

Referee: Novikov N. (Rus)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Yenisey Krasnoyarsk		Fakel

	1	X	2
	3.66	2.97	2.29
	3.6	3.07	2.26	Watch
	3.54	3.01	2.13
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.6 ↑ (3.42)	3.02 ↓ (3.05)	2.23 ↑ (2.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yenisey Krasnoyarsk
26.2%

Draw
31.3%

Fakel
42.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27%

30.3%

42.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.1%

29.3%

44.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yenisey Krasnoyarsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Fakel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yenisey Krasnoyarsk than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fakel than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Yenisey Krasnoyarsk - Fakel Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Fakel (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0, 1st Half - Yenisey (2.30) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Yenisey (votes: 1 - 50%). Fakel (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
50. Shamov E. (G) 6. Batyrev A. 22. Gyurdzhan A. 33. Maslovskiy A. 5. Emerson 87. Mazurin A. 24. Pogosov A. 18. Nadolskiy A. 7. Chukanov A. 11. Khashkulov A. (C) 75. Okladnikov A.	1. Frolkin D. (G) 2. Cherov V. 44. Zhuravlev Y. 20. Yurganov I. 95. Gaponov I. 99. Giorgobiani N. 8. Bagamaev A. (C) 52. Netfullin R. 97. Magomedov B. 93. Uridia M. 19. Pusi B.
Substitutes
1. Antipin S. (G) 49. Kenfak O. 19. Krotov V. 59. Ostrovskiy A. 9. Ratkovic L. 23. Savin N. 3. Tses Y. 17. Zazvonkin I.	70. Abdokov N. 77. Bagatelia L. 5. Gabaraev A. 21. Gongadze G. 17. Kovalev A. 11. Motpan N. 96. Obukhov I. (G) 9. Turishchev M.
Coaches
Tikhonov A.	Shalimov I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
26', 1 - 0, Okladnikov A. ⚽,
31', 1 - 1, Uridia M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
51', Nadolskiy A. 🟨,
54', Cherov V. ↓, Kovalev A. ↑,
60', Pusi B. ↓, Gongadze G. ↑,
60', Magomedov B. ↓, Motpan N. ↑,
67', Motpan N. 🟨,
72', Okladnikov A. ↓, Ratkovic L. ↑,
79', Giorgobiani N. ↓, Abdokov N. ↑,
79', Uridia M. ↓, Turishchev M. ↑,
85', Netfullin R. 🟨,
90', Pogosov A. ↓, Tses Y. ↑,
90', Khashkulov A. ↓, Zazvonkin I. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 13 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (Promotion: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Yenisey won 1.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Fakel might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Yenisey won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 17:14. (average 1.2:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Yenisey won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:6. (average 1.1:0.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Yenisey Krasnoyarsk
Russian FNL
15.09.25	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Yenisey Krasnoyarsk	1:0 ✺
07.09.25	Rodina Moscow - Yenisey Krasnoyarsk	2:0 ✺
03.09.25	Yenisey Krasnoyarsk - Shinnik	0:0 ✺
30.08.25	Yenisey Krasnoyarsk - Sokol Saratov	1:0 ✺
23.08.25	Chernomorets Novorossiysk - Yenisey Krasnoyarsk	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 LLTWW
- Fakel Voronezh
Russian FNL
15.09.25	Rodina Moscow - Fakel	2:0 ✺
08.09.25	Fakel - Arsenal Tula	1:0 ✺
04.09.25	Chelyabinsk - Fakel	1:1 ✺
31.08.25	Ural - Fakel	2:0 ✺
24.08.25	Fakel - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL
10.06.23	Fakel - Yenisey Krasnoyarsk	2:0
07.06.23	Yenisey Krasnoyarsk - Fakel	0:1
26.03.22	Yenisey Krasnoyarsk - Fakel	2:1
15.09.21	Fakel - Yenisey Krasnoyarsk	3:1
06.03.21	Yenisey Krasnoyarsk - Fakel	1:3
09.09.20	Fakel - Yenisey Krasnoyarsk	1:0
Russian FNL Cup
23.02.20	Yenisey Krasnoyarsk - Fakel	0:1 penalties

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