Match Info

Date: 5 September 2021, Sunday


	Fakel		Krasnodar 2

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.55	3.9	5.5
	1.6	3.7	4.3
	1.49	3.7	5.6
	1.56	4.18	5.95
	1.5	3.75	6
	1.55	4	6.1	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↓ (1.63)	3.87 ↑ (3.8)	5.58 ↑ (4.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fakel
59.7%

Draw
23.8%

Krasnodar 2
16.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.2%

24.2%

19.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.5%

15.3%

31%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fakel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Krasnodar 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fakel than the current prediction. (-24.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Fakel that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Krasnodar 2 than the current prediction. (+14.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Krasnodar 2 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Fakel - Krasnodar 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ FNL (Promotion) and 10).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Fakel could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Fakel is a favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Fakel won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 18-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Fakel won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fakel Voronezh
Russian FNL
29.08.21	KAMAZ - Fakel	2:1 ✺
Russian Cup
25.08.21	Dynamo Barnaul - Fakel	0:2 ✺
Russian FNL
21.08.21	Fakel - Rotor	1:0 ✺
14.08.21	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Fakel	3:0 ✺
08.08.21	Fakel - Akron Tolyatti	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LWWLW
- FC Krasnodar 2
Russian FNL
29.08.21	Baltika Kaliningrad - Krasnodar 2	2:1 ✺
21.08.21	Metallurg Lipetsk - Krasnodar 2	1:2 ✺
14.08.21	Krasnodar 2 - Volgar Astrakhan	1:0 ✺
08.08.21	SKA Khabarovsk - Krasnodar 2	1:0 ✺
31.07.21	Krasnodar 2 - Olimp Dolgoprudny	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL
15.11.20	Fakel - Krasnodar 2	6:2
08.08.20	Krasnodar 2 - Fakel	3:1
30.09.19	Krasnodar 2 - Fakel	0:0
13.04.19	Krasnodar 2 - Fakel	1:2
Russian FNL Cup
18.02.19	Krasnodar 2 - Fakel	0:1
Russian FNL
23.09.18	Fakel - Krasnodar 2	0:0
Russian FNL Cup
15.02.17	Krasnodar 2 - Fakel	3:8

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