The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Fakel 42.8%
Draw 32.7%
Rotor 24.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
45.4%
30.5%
24.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
46.5%
29.8%
23.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fakel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
Rotor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fakel than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rotor than the current prediction. (-1%)
Fakel - Rotor Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Frolkin D. (G) 2. Cherov V. 27. Magkeev S. 20. Yurganov I. 77. Bagatelia L. 97. Magomedov B. 10. Alshin I. 52. Netfullin R. (C) 99. Giorgobiani N. 93. Uridia M. 19. Pusi B.
13. Chagrov N. (G) 2. Korotkov A. 18. Kaynov M. 11. Kleshchenko A. 17. Shilnikov G. 24. Maltsev M. 6. Makarov S. (C) 33. Arbuzov Y. 10. Simonyan A. 34. Khramtsov M. 70. Khokhlachev A.
Substitutes
70. Abdokov N. 8. Bagamaev A. 5. Gabaraev A. 95. Gaponov I. 21. Gongadze G. 17. Kovalev A. 11. Motpan N. 96. Obukhov I. (G) 18. Simonov K. 9. Turishchev M. 23. Yakimov V. 44. Zhuravlev Y.
73. Aznaurov I. 9. Davidyan D. 23. Lavrishchev D. 99. Litvenok I. (G) 88. Makarov A. 27. Nikishin K. 7. Safronov I. 77. Sasin D. 28. Semenov A. 3. Shvetsov M. 50. Sugrobov V. (G)
Coaches
Vasilenko O.
Boyarintsev D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
22', Khramtsov M. 🟨,
42', 1 - 0, Pusi B. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
47', 2 - 0, Pusi B. ⚽,
58', Shilnikov G. ↓, Safronov I. ↑,
58', Maltsev M. ↓, Sasin D. ↑,
58', Khokhlachev A. ↓, Davidyan D. ↑,
61', Bagatelia L. 🟨,
64', Bagatelia L. ↓, Simonov K. ↑,
64', Uridia M. ↓, Yakimov V. ↑,
64', Magomedov B. ↓, Motpan N. ↑,
65', Khramtsov M. ↓, Semenov A. ↑,
72', Pusi B. ↓, Gongadze G. ↑,
74', 3 - 0, Gongadze G. ⚽,
75', Arbuzov Y. ↓, Nikishin K. ↑,
83', Alshin I. ↓, Kovalev A. ↑,
90+2', 4 - 0, Gongadze G. ⚽,
Preview
The most interesting match of the day โ two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (Promotion: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fakel won 3.
Fakel is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Rotor has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1).
Rotor may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Rotor has had a series of away games.
Fakel might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Fakel won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:4. (average 1:0.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Fakel won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0. (average 1:0).
Watch
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Frolkin D. (G) 
Uridia M. 
Pusi B. 
Simonyan A. 
Kovalev A. 
Motpan N. 
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