Match Info

FNL - Round 23

Date: 1 April 2026, Wednesday

Location: Neftekhimik Stadium (Nizhnekamsk)

Referee: Zaika M. (Rus)

Where to Watch on TV:


Belarus	Sport TV


	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk		Fakel

	1	X	2
	3.88	2.94	2.24
	3.98	2.91	2.29	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.93 ↓ (5.05)	2.93 ↓ (3.1)	2.27 ↑ (1.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk
24.5%

Draw
32.9%

Fakel
42.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.9%

30.8%

50.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk's performance.

Fakel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Fakel might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	0%	83.3%

Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Fakel Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Neftekhimik (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Fakel will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Golubev A. (C) 17. Valiakhmetov E. 24. Kakhidze A. 65. Tolstopyatov N. 75. Shadrintsev D. 74. Kuchugura D. 6. Rodin D. 15. Nikitin A. 90. Shiltsov K. 53. Moiseev K. 14. Mashukov I.	96. Obukhov I. (G) 55. Todorovic D. 20. Yurganov I. 44. Zhuravlev Y. 18. Simonov K. 99. Giorgobiani N. 52. Netfullin R. (C) 5. Gabaraev A. 97. Magomedov B. 7. Gnapi Dable A. 93. Uridia M.
Substitutes
77. Gvenetadze A. 8. Kantaria G. 10. Kokoev D. 9. Magomedov R. 5. Musalov M. 28. Platonov P. 43. Prisyazhnenko N. (G) 12. Shiryaev M. 2. Sitdikov M.	70. Abdokov N. 8. Bagamaev A. 25. Belyaev A. 2. Cherov V. 1. Frolkin D. (G) 95. Gaponov I. 19. Pusi B. 9. Turishchev M. 23. Yakimov V.
Coaches
Novikov K.	Vasilenko O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
5', 0 - 1, Gabaraev A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Gnapi Dable A. ↓, Belyaev A. ↑,
46', Mashukov I. ↓, Magomedov R. ↑,
46', Rodin D. ↓, Kantaria G. ↑,
46', Moiseev K. ↓, Kokoev D. ↑,
58', Magomedov B. ↓, Yakimov V. ↑,
59', Simonov K. ↓, Bagamaev A. ↑,
64', Valiakhmetov E. ↓, Musalov M. ↑,
71', Uridia M. ↓, Turishchev M. ↑,
74', Kuchugura D. ↓, Gvenetadze A. ↑,
83', Belaidi 🟨,
83', Giorgobiani N. ↓, Cherov V. ↑,
90+4', 0 - 2, Turishchev M. ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 9 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Neftekhimik won 2.

Fakel is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Neftekhimik won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:11. (average 1.5:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Neftekhimik won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:3. (average 2:0.8).

Outrights of Russian FNL for now

Neftekhimik: 0.78%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Neftekhimik	12	4	0	8	7:15	-8	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk
Russian FNL
28.03.26	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Shinnik	0:0 ✺
22.03.26	Sokol Saratov - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	0:3 ✺
16.03.26	Torpedo Moscow - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	3:0 ✺
28.02.26	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Ufa	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
21.02.26	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Tyumen	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 TWLW?
- Fakel Voronezh
Russian FNL
28.03.26	Fakel - KAMAZ	0:0 ✺
20.03.26	Rotor - Fakel	1:0 ✺
14.03.26	Fakel - Chernomorets Novorossiysk	0:0 ✺
27.02.26	Fakel - Ural	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
31.01.26	Fakel - Grafičar Beograd	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 TLTWT

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL
24.08.25	Fakel - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	1:0
21.11.21	Fakel - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	3:1
14.08.21	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Fakel	3:0
03.04.21	Fakel - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	1:1
09.10.20	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Fakel	3:1
12.10.19	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Fakel	1:0
08.04.17	Fakel - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	3:2

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