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Current Win Probability
Fakel Voronezh U19 32.6%
Draw 25.2%
Chertanovo U19 42.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
30.8%
26.6%
42.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
32%
25.6%
41%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fakel Voronezh U19 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
Chertanovo U19 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fakel Voronezh U19 than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chertanovo U19 than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
24', 1 - 0, Plaksin R. ⚽,
32', 1 - 1, Puzanov D. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
53', 2 - 1, Sergejevic I. (Own goal),
82', 🟥,
Preview
Crucial home points are at stake for a lower-table team looking to climb out of danger (ranked 16th in the Relegation and 12th).
Fakel U19 is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Chertanovo U19 has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Chertanovo U19 is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Fakel U19 has recorded 0 wins, 1 draw, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 4:10 (averaging 0.8:2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Fakel U19 against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 2:3 goals (averaging 1:1.5 per game).
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