Match Info
GFA League - Round 23Date: 6 May 2026, Wednesday
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Falcons |
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Samger |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
2 |
2.75 |
3.7 |
|
 |
2.44 |
2.23 |
4.36 |
 Watch |
 |
2.07 |
2.74 |
3.94 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.17 ↑
(2.09) |
2.57 ↓
(2.69) |
4 ↓
(4.06) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
- The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Falcons
41.9% | Draw
35.3% | Samger
22.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Falcons has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)Samger has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Falcons than the current prediction. (+2.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Samger than the current prediction. (-0.6%)Falcons - Samger Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 47', 0 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 8 and 16 in the zone Relegation).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Falcons won 3.Recent performances by Falcons have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).Samger is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1).Samger may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. Falcons could have a small edge in this match.In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Falcons won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:2. (average 1.3:0.3).Including home matches between the teams, Falcons won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1:0.3).
Standings
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 10 | Falcons | 30 | 7 | 14 | 9 | 19:24 | -5 | 35 |
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| 15 | Samger | 30 | 6 | 14 | 10 | 23:27 | -4 | 32 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Gambian GFA League | | | 23.01.26 | Samger - Falcons | 0:0 | | 08.03.24 | Samger - Falcons | 0:2 | | 26.11.23 | Falcons - Samger | 2:1 | | 23.05.23 | Samger - Falcons | 1:2 | | 25.03.23 | Falcons - Samger | 0:0 | | 07.05.22 | Samger - Falcons | 0:2 | | 10.12.21 | Falcons - Samger | 1:0 |
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