Match Info

Superettan - Round 23

Date: 10 September 2026, Thursday

Location: Falcon Alkoholfri Arena (Falkenberg)

Referee: Alknas F. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	TV4 Play
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Falkenberg		Öster

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.70	4.10
	1.68	3.80	4.20
	1.75	3.70	3.85
	1.72	4.14	4.45
	1.7	4.14	4.25	Watch
	1.66	4.15	4.55
	1.73	3.87	4.29	Watch
	1.67	3.85	4.20
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↓ (1.74)	3.92 ↑ (3.85)	4.24 ↑ (3.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Falkenberg
54.6%

Draw
23.6%

Öster
21.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.2%

23.6%

24.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.5%

24.6%

23.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Falkenberg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Öster has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Falkenberg than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Öster than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.8%	18.2%	0%

Falkenberg - Öster Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Falkenberg (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (1.56) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

New Consensus by Tipsters:

BTTS - yes (1.60) (votes: 100%) ⭐ Best Value.

O/U 2.5 - over (1.60) (votes: 88%) ⭐ Best Value.

Users Predictions: Falkenberg will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Andersson A. (G) 6. Borgstrom L. 17. Miftari A. 23. Salo A. (C) 8. Bertilsson N. 19. Lindberg O. 30. Aguda G. 28. Nilsson M. 10. Mohammad E. 9. Andersson A. 11. Kallstrom H.	1. Lundahl C. (G) 15. Varmanen T. 3. Gyamfi K. 4. Starke S. (C) 14. Olsson D. 8. Ask D. 26. Christensen M. 11. Olsson F. 10. Uddenas O. 34. Thellsson C. W. I. 18. Marrah K.
Substitutes
25. Alexandersson G. 21. Beqiri L. 5. Hansson N. 29. Komano H. 31. Lillienberg G. (G) 12. Rupia-Ellis A. 18. Sangare L. 4. Stalheden T. 14. Videhult W.	16. Adjei R. 5. Adolfsson M. 24. Ayorinde N. 17. Bladh Pijaca H. 12. Enzenross L. 9. Jawla K. 21. Lind V. 6. Soderberg N. 19. Tamminen M.
Coaches
Andersson C.	Friberg D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
30', Mohammad E. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
50', 1 - 0, Kallstrom H. ⚽, Mohammad E. (A),
56', 2 - 0, Kallstrom H. ⚽, Andersson A. (A),
56', Christensen M. ↓, Bladh Pijaca H. ↑,
56', Thellsson C. W. I. ↓, Jawla K. ↑,
66', Olsson F. 🟨,
69', Kallstrom H. ↓, Komano H. ↑,
69', Mohammad E. ↓, Sangare L. ↑,
73', Ask D. ↓, Tamminen M. ↑,
79', 2 - 1, Starke S. ⚽, Olsson D. (A),
83', Aguda G. ↓, Hansson N. ↑,
83', Bertilsson N. ↓, Rupia-Ellis A. ↑,
85', Varmanen T. ↓, Adolfsson M. ↑,
88', Lindberg O. ↓, Beqiri L. ↑,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Allsvenskan (Promotion: ) and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Falkenberg won 1.

In recent matches, Falkenberg has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Öster is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Falkenberg is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Falkenberg won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 15:22. (average 1.1:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Falkenberg won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 3:11. (average 0.5:1.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Falkenberg	25	13	6	6	46:33	13	45
8	Oster	25	11	3	11	38:38	0	36

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Falkenbergs FF
Swedish Superettan
05.09.26	Oddevold - Falkenberg	2:1 ✺
29.08.26	Falkenberg - Brage	4:1 ✺
24.08.26	Norrköping - Falkenberg	2:1 ✺
Svenska Cupen
18.08.26	IFK Skövde - Falkenberg	3:2 penalties ✺
Swedish Superettan
15.08.26	Falkenberg - Norrby	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LWLLW
- Östers IF
Swedish Superettan
04.09.26	Öster - United Nordic	1:2 ✺
30.08.26	Sandviken - Öster	1:1 ✺
25.08.26	Öster - Sundsvall	1:0 ✺
Svenska Cupen
19.08.26	Högaborgs - Öster	0:4 ✺
Swedish Superettan
15.08.26	Ljungskile - Öster	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 LTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Superettan
21.06.26	Öster - Falkenberg	1:3
Club Friendly
03.02.24	Öster - Falkenberg	2:2
Svenska Cupen
23.08.23	Falkenberg - Öster	1:2
Swedish Superettan
19.09.21	Falkenberg - Öster	0:2
24.04.21	Öster - Falkenberg	2:1
Svenska Cupen
17.02.19	Falkenberg - Öster	1:2
Swedish Superettan
03.09.18	Öster - Falkenberg	2:3

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