Match Info

Date: 24 October 2026, Saturday


	Falkirk		Kilmarnock

	1	X	2
	1.79	3.7	3.75
	1.82	3.70	3.90
	1.8	3.6	3.95
	1.84	3.91	3.94
	1.83	3.93	3.87	Watch
	1.81	3.84	3.89	Watch
	1.81	3.75	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↓ (1.83)	3.78 ↓ (3.89)	3.87 ↓ (3.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Falkirk
51.3%

Draw
24.7%

Kilmarnock
24%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

51.6%

24.3%

24.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.2%

24%

23.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Falkirk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Kilmarnock has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Falkirk than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kilmarnock than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

Falkirk - Kilmarnock Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Two table neighbours face each other in what promises to be a tight contest (ranked 9th in the Premiership (Relegation Group: ) and 11th in the Premiership (Relegation Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Falkirk won 3.

Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.

Falkirk carries the favorite tag into this contest.

In the last 8 head-to-head meetings, Falkirk has recorded 5 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 12:13 (averaging 1.5:1.6 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Falkirk against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 9:2 goals (averaging 2.3:0.5 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Falkirk	9	2	3	4	9:12	-3	9
11	Kilmarnock	9	2	2	5	10:20	-10	8

Outrights of Scottish Premier League for now

Falkirk: 0.2% Kilmarnock: 0.17%

Last Results with these Odds

Falkirk - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 51.62%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Falkirk FC
Scottish Premier League
17.10.26	Hibernian - Falkirk	1:2 ✺
10.10.26	Falkirk - Dundee	1:2 ✺
19.09.26	St. Johnstone - Falkirk	1:1 ✺
15.09.26	Falkirk - Hearts	2:1 ✺
05.09.26	Dundee United - Falkirk	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.3 WLTWT
- Kilmarnock FC
Scottish Premier League
17.10.26	Kilmarnock - Motherwell	3:2 ✺
10.10.26	Glasgow Rangers - Kilmarnock	3:1 ✺
19.09.26	Kilmarnock - Hearts	1:1 ✺
15.09.26	Hibernian - Kilmarnock	0:1 ✺
Scottish League Cup
12.09.26	Kilmarnock - Aberdeen	1:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.8 WLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Scottish Premier League
28.02.26	Falkirk - Kilmarnock	5:1
20.12.25	Kilmarnock - Falkirk	0:1
01.11.25	Falkirk - Kilmarnock	3:1
Club Friendly
24.06.22	Kilmarnock - Falkirk	4:1
Scottish Challenge Cup
04.09.21	Kilmarnock - Falkirk	3:1
Scottish League Cup
06.10.20	Falkirk - Kilmarnock	Falkirk awarded
Scottish Premier League
22.05.16	Kilmarnock - Falkirk	4:0

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