The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Falkirk 24.8%
Draw 25.7%
Hearts 49.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
32.1%
27.8%
40.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
31.9%
28%
40.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Falkirk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Falkirk's form might have worsened.
Hearts has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Hearts's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Falkirk than the current prediction. (+7.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Falkirk, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hearts than the current prediction. (-9.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hearts, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
23.1%
76.9%
Falkirk - Hearts Predictions
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Hearts will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 23.1%). Confidence interval (95%) for Hearts: 54% โ 99.8%.
New Consensus by Tipsters:
1X2 - Hearts (2.00) (votes: 100%) โญ Best Value.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
19. Bain S. (G) 22. Strain R. 15. Neilson L. 5. Henderson L. 3. McCann L. 16. Barbrook F. 8. Spencer B. (C) 23. Ross E. 28. Krauhaus B. 42. Eames O. 24. Murrell J.
1. Reus B. (G) 23. Altena J. 5. McCart J. 17. Findlay S. 18. Milne H. (C) 31. Dhanda Y. 78. Mendy L. 7. Miller C. 10. Braga C. 15. McPake J. 21. Wilson J.
Substitutes
47. Doherty A. 99. Fodrey C. 1. Hogarth N. (G) 9. MacIver R. 4. McMillan J. 21. Melniks D. 7. Parkinson B. 10. Sibbald C. 17. Tanser S.
77. Ba-Sy A. 2. Borchgrevink C. 30. Fulton R. (G) 19. Guendouz S. 11. Kabore P. 29. Kerjota S. 3. Kingsley S. 74. Mato R. 9. Williams J.
Coaches
McGlynn J.
Vrancken W.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
3', Barbrook F. 🟨,
8', 1 - 0, Krauhaus B. ⚽, Strain R. (A),
22', 1 - 1, Wilson J. ⚽, McPake J. (A),
28', Braga C. 🟨,
35', Dhanda Y. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Wilson J. ↓, Williams J. ↑,
56', Strain R. 🟨,
57', Krauhaus B. ↓, Fodrey C. ↑,
67', Eames O. 🟨,
68', 2 - 1, Eames O. ⚽,
73', McPake J. ↓, Mato R. ↑,
73', Miller C. ↓, Kerjota S. ↑,
73', Milne H. ↓, Kingsley S. ↑,
75', Fodrey C. 🟨,
77', McCart J. 🟨,
78', Murrell J. ↓, MacIver R. ↑,
79', Barbrook F. ↓, Sibbald C. ↑,
80', Findlay S. ↓, Borchgrevink C. ↑,
86', Eames O. ↓, Melniks D. ↑,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Falkirk won 1.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
Hearts may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Hearts has had a series of home games.
Hearts could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Falkirk won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 9:22. (average 0.8:1.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Falkirk won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 3:8. (average 0.5:1.3).
Outrights of Scottish Premier League for now
Hearts: 4.18% Falkirk: 0.38%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
3
Hearts
7
4
1
2
14:8
6
13
11
Falkirk
7
1
3
3
6:9
-3
6
Last Results with these Odds
Hearts - the odds 2.36 are the expected chance of winning is 40.05%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.
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Bain S. (G) 
Strain R. 
Barbrook F. 
Murrell J. 
Reus B. (G) 
Mendy L. 
Braga C. 
Doherty A. 
Melniks D. 
Borchgrevink C. 
Kabore P. 
Kerjota S. 
Mato R. 
Vrancken W. 
