Match Info

Conference League - Qualification - Final

Date: 26 August 2026, Wednesday

Location: Allianz Stadion (Vienna)

Referee: Masiyev E. (Aze)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	Laola1, ORF 1, ORF On
Germany	Laola1
North-macedonia	Arena Premium 1
Portugal	Canal 11
Serbia	Arena Premium 1
United-kingdom	Hearts TV
Usa	SportsEngine Play
World	OneFootball TV


	Rapid Wien		Hearts

	1	X	2
	1.42	4.33	6.25
	1.52	4.40	5.50	Watch
	1.59	4.74	6.20
	1.55	4.39	5.54	Watch
	1.43	4.65	6.00
	1.49	4.87	6.54	Watch
	1.45	4.60	6.00
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↓ (1.74)	4.57 ↑ (3.74)	6 ↑ (4.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 0.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rapid Wien
63.5%

Draw
20.7%

Hearts
15.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.3%

25.2%

20.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.2%

24.3%

19.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rapid Wien has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Rapid Wien's performance.

Hearts has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rapid Wien than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Rapid Wien that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hearts than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90%	5%	5%

Rapid Wien - Hearts Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 0.5, 1st Half - over (1.26) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (1.73) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (1.66) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Rapid Wien will win (36 of 40 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 80.7% – 99.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Rapid Wien will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Hedl N. (G) 77. Bolla B. 55. Cvetkovic N. 6. Raux-Yao S. 38. Horn J. 29. Amane R. 18. Seidl M. (C) 22. Demir Y. 8. Adamsen T. 10. Dahl P. 9. Kara E.	1. Reus B. (G) 23. Altena J. 6. McEntee O. 17. Findlay S. 5. McCart J. 7. Miller C. 12. Renaud T. 16. Spittal B. (C) 15. McPake J. 21. Wilson J. 10. Braga C.
Substitutes
20. Ahoussou A. 30. Bajlicz N. 61. Demir F. 25. Gartler P. (G) 47. Groller A. 17. Gulliksen T. 43. Haidara M. 50. Orgler L. (G) 2. Roka E. 21. Schaub L. 7. Tilio M. 15. Wurmbrand N.	77. Ba-Sy A. 2. Borchgrevink C. 30. Fulton R. (G) 19. Guendouz S. 11. Kabore P. 24. Kamara M. 29. Kerjota S. 22. Magnusson T. 74. Mato R. 78. Mendy L. 34. Wright K. (G)
Coaches
Thorup J.	Vrancken W.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
15', Renaud T. ↓, Magnusson T. ↑,
18', McEntee O. 🟨,
34', 1 - 0, Kara E. ⚽,
41', Magnusson T. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Findlay S. ↓, Borchgrevink C. ↑,
59', Braga C. 🟨,
66', Dahl P. ↓, Wurmbrand N. ↑,
66', Adamsen T. ↓, Bajlicz N. ↑,
74', Seidl M. 🟨,
74', Wilson J. ↓, Kabore P. ↑,
75', McPake J. ↓, Kerjota S. ↑,
76', Magnusson T. 🟨,
79', 1 - 1, Kabore P. ⚽, Spittal B. (A),
86', Kabore P. 🟨,
90+1', Braga C. ↓, Mendy L. ↑,
90+1', Bolla B. 🟨,
Extra Time (1 - 1)
91', Spittal B. ↓, Mato R. ↑,
100', 1 - 2, Miller C. ⚽, Mato R. (A),
102', Seidl M. ↓, Tilio M. ↑,
111', Bolla B. ↓, Haidara M. ↑,
112', Horn J. ↓, Ahoussou A. ↑,
115', Ahoussou A. 🟨,
119', 2 - 2, Cvetkovic N. ⚽, Haidara M. (A),
120+1', Amane R. ↓, Schaub L. ↑,
Penalties (3 - 4)
1, Miller C. (Penalty Awarded),
1, Kara E. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Altena J. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Schaub L. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Mato R. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Haidara M. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Kerjota S. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Demir Y. (Penalty Awarded),
5, McEntee O. (Penalty Awarded),
5, Tilio M. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

First leg result: 2-2.

Rapid is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Hearts's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, Hearts has had a series of home games.

In this match, Rapid is considered a favorite.

We predict that Rapid will win today's game, with odds of 1.59.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Rapid won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.

Outrights of UEFA Europa Conference League for now

Hearts: 0.75%

Last Results with these Odds

Rapid Wien - the odds 1.74 are the expected chance of winning is 54.33%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rapid Wien
UEFA Europa Conference League
20.08.26	Hearts - Rapid Wien	2:2 ✺
Austrian Bundesliga
16.08.26	Rapid Wien - Grazer AK	8:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
12.08.26	Rapid Wien - Paide LM	2:0 ✺
Austrian Bundesliga
09.08.26	Ried - Rapid Wien	1:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
06.08.26	Paide LM - Rapid Wien	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 TWWWW
- Heart of Midlothian
UEFA Europa Conference League
20.08.26	Hearts - Rapid Wien	2:2 ✺
Scottish League Cup
16.08.26	Hearts - Inverness	6:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
13.08.26	Hearts - Benfica	1:1 ✺
Scottish Premier League
09.08.26	Hearts - Dundee United	4:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
06.08.26	Benfica - Hearts	6:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 TWTWL

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Conference League
20.08.26	Hearts - Rapid Wien	2:2

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