Match Info

Liga Portugal - Round 1

Date: 10 August 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Famalicao (Vila Nova de Famalicao)

Referee: Branco Godinho L. M. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+
Finland	Veikkaus TV
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 5, Free
Portugal	Sport TV1
Russia	TV Start, TV Start Triumph
South-america	Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Play Latinoamerica
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
Usa	Fanatiz


	Famalicão		Santa Clara

	1	X	2
	2.25	3	3.6	Watch
	2.35	3.1	3.1
	2.22	2.98	3.45	Watch
	2.29	3.06	3.7
	1.03	14.44	35.41	Watch
	2.45	2.9	2.9	Watch
	2.3	3.07	3.69	Watch
	2.41	3.1	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↓ (2.48)	4.46 ↑ (3.05)	7.36 ↑ (2.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Famalicão
56.2%

Draw
27.3%

Santa Clara
16.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.7%

30.6%

31.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Famalicão has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+18.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Famalicão's performance.

Santa Clara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Santa Clara might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	26.7%	40%

Famalicão - Santa Clara Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Famalicão will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%). Santa Clara will win (votes: 6 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 28.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Santa Clara: 17% – 68.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Famalicão (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Famalicão (1.64) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Famalicão (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Carevic L. (G) 17. Pinheiro R. 3. Realpe L. 16. De Haas J. 5. Rafa Soares 6. Van de Looi T. 14. De Amorim M. 23. Gil Dias 20. Sa G. (C) 7. Sorriso 12. Elisor S.	1. Gabriel Batista (C) 23. Lima S. 13. Rocha L. 21. Venancio F. 22. Edney 6. Adriano Firmino 35. Serginho 3. Matheus Pereira 70. Vinicius Lopes 29. Wendell 10. Gabriel Silva
Substitutes
9. Abubakar U. 55. Ba I. 18. Beney R. 15. Mamageishvili O. 28. Pedro Bondo 8. Pena M. 80. Santos P. 21. Zabiri Y. 1. Zlobin I. (G)	11. Brenner 17. Costa J. 33. Elias Manoel 8. Ferreira P. 32. MT 12. Neneca (G) 4. Pacheco P. 64. Paulo Victor 77. Pereira H.
Coaches
Oliveira H.	Pires L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, Pinheiro R. ⚽,
19', 2 - 0, Sa G. ⚽, Elisor S. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Edney ↓, Ferreira P. ↑,
46', Venancio F. ↓, MT ↑,
54', 3 - 0, Gil Dias ⚽, Rafa Soares (A),
59', Gabriel Silva ↓, Paulo Victor ↑,
59', Vinicius Lopes ↓, Elias Manoel ↑,
61', Ferreira P. 🟨,
73', Elisor S. ↓, Zabiri Y. ↑,
76', Wendell ↓, Costa J. ↑,
80', De Amorim M. 🟨,
81', Sorriso ↓, Beney R. ↑,
81', Sa G. ↓, Santos P. ↑,
84', De Amorim M. ↓, Mamageishvili O. ↑,
86', Santos P. 🟨,
89', MT 🟨,
90', Zabiri Y. 🟨,
90+5', Carevic L. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Famalicão won 2.

Santa Clara may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in Famalicão: Rochinha (Inactive)

There are questionable in Santa Clara: Diogo Calila (Injury)

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Famalicão won 9 matches, drew 1 match, lost 9 matches, and goals 24:19. (average 1.3:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Famalicão won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 13:10. (average 1.2:0.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Famalicão
Club Friendly
15.07.25	Celta de Vigo - Famalicão	0:2 ✺
Liga Portugal
16.05.25	Famalicão - Casa Pia	2:1 ✺
10.05.25	Santa Clara - Famalicão	2:1 ✺
03.05.25	Farense - Famalicão	2:1 ✺
25.04.25	Famalicão - Braga	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 WWLLT
- CD Santa Clara
UEFA Europa Conference League
07.08.25	Larne - Santa Clara	0:3 ✺
31.07.25	Santa Clara - Varaždin	2:0 ✺
24.07.25	Varaždin - Santa Clara	2:1 ✺
Liga Portugal
17.05.25	Farense - Santa Clara	1:2 ✺
10.05.25	Santa Clara - Famalicão	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Liga Portugal
10.05.25	Santa Clara - Famalicão	2:1
30.12.24	Famalicão - Santa Clara	1:2
Taça de Portugal
24.11.24	Famalicão - Santa Clara	0:1
Liga Portugal
19.02.23	Santa Clara - Famalicão	1:3
28.08.22	Famalicão - Santa Clara	1:0
12.03.22	Famalicão - Santa Clara	0:0
23.10.21	Santa Clara - Famalicão	0:2

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