Match Info

Liga Portugal - Round 34

Date: 17 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Estádio de São Luís (Faro)

Referee: Pereira C. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV
Portugal	Sport TV4
Romania	AntenaPLAY
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 9


	Farense		Santa Clara

	1	X	2
	2.63	3.1	2.7	Watch
	2.65	3	2.7
	2.7	3.1	2.75	Watch
	2.84	3.18	2.69
	2.75	3.16	2.7	Watch
	2.5	2.9	2.7	Watch
	2.69	3.18	2.71	Watch
	2.7	3.1	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.68 ↑ (2.62)	3.09 ↓ (3.17)	2.71 ↓ (2.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Farense
35%

Draw
30.4%

Santa Clara
34.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.1%

29.9%

34%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.7%

31.1%

35.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Farense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Santa Clara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Farense than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santa Clara than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.1%	22.2%	66.7%

Farense - Santa Clara Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Santa Clara will win (votes: 6 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Santa Clara: 45% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Santa Clara (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kaique Pereira (G) 2. Paulo Victor 29. Claudio Falcao 3. Moreno M. 28. Pastor 6. Neto 20. Rony Lopes 80. Justo S. 77. Matias M. (C) 14. Poveda D. 19. Costa R.	1. Gabriel Batista (C) 42. Lucas Soares 27. Ramos G. 21. Venancio F. 3. Matheus Pereira 8. Ferreira P. 6. Adriano Firmino 35. Serginho 11. Gabriel Silva 29. Wendell 70. Vinicius Lopes
Substitutes
11. Bermejo A. 22. Carvalho M. (G) 31. Derick Poloni 44. Lucas Africo 10. Njie Y. 34. Raul Silva 21. Soares F. 9. Tomane 8. Ze Carlos	20. Adriel 93. Cabelinho 17. Costa J. 41. Daniel Borges 22. Edney 7. Matheusinho 12. Neneca (G) 94. Silva H. 65. Tavares J.
Coaches
Marreco T.	Matos V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
15', Venancio F. 🟨,
32', Matheus Pereira 🟨,
40', Moreno M. 🟨,
42', 0 - 1, Gabriel Silva ⚽,
45+7', 1 - 1, Neto (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
48', 1 - 2, Serginho ⚽,
49', Rony Lopes 🟨,
62', Serginho 🟨,
64', Wendell 🟨,
66', Poveda D. ↓, Njie Y. ↑,
66', Rony Lopes ↓, Bermejo A. ↑,
66', Neto ↓, Soares F. ↑,
76', Serginho ↓, Daniel Borges ↑,
76', Wendell ↓, Matheusinho ↑,
78', Adriano Firmino 🟨,
78', Costa R. ↓, Tomane ↑,
78', Justo S. ↓, Raul Silva ↑,
90', Gabriel Silva ↓, Costa J. ↑,
90+4', Vinicius Lopes ↓, Silva H. ↑,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2 and 6).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Farense won 1.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in Farense: Balde E. (Inactive) Jorge A. (Yellow Cards) Velho R. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Santa Clara: Araujo M. (Yellow Cards) Diogo Calila (Yellow Cards) Pacheco P. (Knee Injury) Rocha L. (Yellow Cards) Sidney Lima (Red Card)

There are questionable in Santa Clara: Diogo Calila (Injury)

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Farense won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 7:13. (average 0.6:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Farense won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:4. (average 1:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Farense
Liga Portugal
11.05.25	Vitoria Guimarães - Farense	1:2 ✺
03.05.25	Farense - Famalicão	2:1 ✺
26.04.25	Gil Vicente - Farense	1:0 ✺
18.04.25	Farense - Boavista	0:1 ✺
13.04.25	Estrela da Amadora - Farense	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.3 WWLLW
- CD Santa Clara
Liga Portugal
10.05.25	Santa Clara - Famalicão	2:1 ✺
03.05.25	Braga - Santa Clara	1:1 ✺
26.04.25	Santa Clara - Arouca	2:0 ✺
18.04.25	Rio Ave - Santa Clara	1:1 ✺
12.04.25	Santa Clara - Sporting Lisbon	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WTWTL

Latest Head to Head

Liga Portugal
05.01.25	Santa Clara - Farense	0:0
Portuguese League Cup
01.08.21	Farense - Santa Clara	0:1 penalties
Liga Portugal
19.05.21	Santa Clara - Farense	4:0
04.02.21	Farense - Santa Clara	1:1
Portuguese Liga 2
21.02.16	Farense - Santa Clara	1:0
20.09.15	Santa Clara - Farense	2:0
08.02.15	Santa Clara - Farense	1:1

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