Match Info

Conference League - Qualification - Semi-finals

Date: 7 August 2025, Thursday

Location: Ballymena Showgrounds (Ballymena)

Referee: Ladeback A. (Swe)


	Larne		Santa Clara

	1	X	2
	8	3.9	1.4	Watch
	8.25	4.1	1.38
	8.8	3.95	1.39	Watch
	8.6	4.34	1.42
	8.63	4.22	1.40	Watch
	10.4	4.24	1.41	Watch
	5.1	3.62	1.72
Avarage Now (Initially)	8.25 ↑ (4.33)	4.05 ↑ (3.5)	1.45 ↓ (1.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Larne
11.4%

Draw
23.3%

Santa Clara
65.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

21%

25.9%

53.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Larne has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Larne's form might have worsened.

Santa Clara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Santa Clara's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.5%	7.7%	80.8%

Larne - Santa Clara Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 - Larne (1.57) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

O/U 2 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Santa Clara will win (21 of 25 users predict this - 84%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.63% – 98.37%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Santa Clara will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. Larne (votes: 2 - 18.2%). Santa Clara (votes: 9 - 81.8%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ferguson R. (G) 23. Cosgrove T. (C) 19. Nolan R. 4. Donnelly A. 11. Graham S. 25. Sloan D. 6. Gallagher C. 8. Randall M. 26. Bent D. 10. O'Connor T. 7. McKendry C.	1. Gabriel Batista (C) 23. Lima S. 13. Rocha L. 21. Venancio F. 16. Pires M. 35. Serginho 10. Gabriel Silva 6. Adriano Firmino 3. Matheus Pereira 29. Wendell 70. Vinicius Lopes
Substitutes
31. Collett D. (G) 34. Devlin O. 36. Graham D. (G) 17. Kee J. 30. Lusty M. 14. Magee B. 27. Moore K. 3. Ridley M. 47. Simpson J. 46. Wallace L.	50. Afonso J. (G) 11. Brenner 17. Costa J. 8. Ferreira P. 32. MT 12. Neneca (G) 4. Pacheco P. 64. Paulo Victor 77. Pereira H.
Coaches
Rooney N.	Matos V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
26', 0 - 1, Wendell ⚽, Gabriel Silva (A),
33', 0 - 2, Gabriel Silva ⚽, Venancio F. (A),
36', 0 - 3, Gabriel Silva ⚽, Serginho (A),
39', McKendry C. ↓, Ridley M. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
50', Lima S. 🟨,
53', Rocha L. 🟨,
55', Adriano Firmino ↓, Ferreira P. ↑,
55', Wendell ↓, Costa J. ↑,
55', Lima S. ↓, MT ↑,
61', Matheus Pereira ↓, Paulo Victor ↑,
64', Randall M. 🟨,
70', Gabriel Silva ↓, Pereira H. ↑,
74', Randall M. ↓, Magee B. ↑,
74', O'Connor T. ↓, Moore K. ↑,
77', Graham S. ↓, Simpson J. ↑,
81', Bent D. 🟨,
90+3', Costa J. 🟨,

Preview

1st leg. Playing home matches at a different stadium - Ballymena Showgrounds.

Larne is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In this match, Santa Clara is the clear favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Larne FC
UEFA Europa Conference League
31.07.25	Prishtina - Larne	1:2 penalties ✺
24.07.25	Larne - Prishtina	0:0 ✺
16.07.25	Auda Riga - Larne	2:3 penalties ✺
10.07.25	Larne - Auda Riga	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
01.07.25	Larne - Portadown	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.6 WTWTW
- CD Santa Clara
UEFA Europa Conference League
31.07.25	Santa Clara - Varaždin	2:0 ✺
24.07.25	Varaždin - Santa Clara	2:1 ✺
Liga Portugal
17.05.25	Farense - Santa Clara	1:2 ✺
10.05.25	Santa Clara - Famalicão	2:1 ✺
03.05.25	Braga - Santa Clara	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 WLWWT

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