Match Info

Date: 16 February 2020, Sunday


	Famalicão		Aves

	1	X	2
	1.5	4	6.5	Watch
	1.5	4.1	6.25
	1.5	4.1	6.1	Watch
	1.5	4.18	5.82
	1.52	4.35	6.42
	1.5	4.2	6.5
	1.55	4.44	5.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↓ (1.55)	4.2 ↑ (4.09)	6.18 ↑ (5.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Famalicão
62.3%

Draw
22.4%

Aves
15.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.6%

23%

16.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.7%

13.2%

28.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Famalicão has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Aves has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Famalicão than the current prediction. (-27.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Famalicão that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aves than the current prediction. (+13.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Aves could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	6.7%	18.3%

Famalicão - Aves Predictions

Users Predictions: 60 users predict this event. Famalicão will win (votes: 45 - 75%). Aves will win (votes: 11 - 18.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 6.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Famalicão: 64% – 86%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Famalicão
Taça de Portugal
11.02.20	Famalicão - Benfica	1:1 ✺
Liga Portugal
08.02.20	Famalicão - Vitoria Guimarães	0:7 ✺
Taça de Portugal
04.02.20	Benfica - Famalicão	3:2 ✺
Liga Portugal
31.01.20	Rio Ave - Famalicão	2:2 ✺
26.01.20	Famalicão - Santa Clara	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 TLLTL
- CD Aves
Liga Portugal
09.02.20	Aves - Rio Ave	0:4 ✺
02.02.20	Marítimo - Aves	1:2 ✺
26.01.20	Aves - Boavista	0:1 ✺
18.01.20	Aves - Portimonense	3:0 ✺
10.01.20	Benfica - Aves	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Liga Portugal
31.08.19	Aves - Famalicão	2:3
Club Friendly
24.07.19	Aves - Famalicão	0:1
Portuguese Liga 2
23.04.17	Aves - Famalicão	2:0
04.12.16	Famalicão - Aves	0:0
03.04.16	Famalicão - Aves	3:2
08.11.15	Aves - Famalicão	2:0

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