Match Info

Date: 11 April 2021, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Fano		Modena

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.1	2
	3.6	2.9	2.05
	3.3	2.95	2.1
	3.55	2.7	2.14
	3.76	2.86	2.24
	3.7	2.8	2.2
	3.48	3.04	2.15	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.57 ↑ (3.33)	2.91 ↓ (2.99)	2.13 ↑ (2.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fano
25.6%

Draw
31.4%

Modena
43%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

27.1%

30.2%

42.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.5%

22.9%

56.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Modena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fano than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Fano that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Modena than the current prediction. (+13.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Modena could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Fano - Modena Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Serie C to Play Out and 4 in the zone Promotion to Serie C to Promotion to Play Offs).

Fano is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Modena is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Fano could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Modena will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Fano won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Fano won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alma Juventus Fano 1906
Italian Serie C Group B
03.04.21	FeralpiSalò - Fano	1:2 ✺
28.03.21	Fano - Vis Pesaro	1:1 ✺
21.03.21	Virtus Verona - Fano	3:1 ✺
17.03.21	Fano - Arezzo	0:1 ✺
14.03.21	Legnago Salus - Fano	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WTLLL
- FC Modena
Italian Serie C Group B
03.04.21	Modena - Arezzo	3:1 ✺
27.03.21	Fermana - Modena	1:0 ✺
21.03.21	Modena - Cesena	1:0 ✺
17.03.21	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Modena	2:0 ✺
14.03.21	Modena - Mantova	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
20.12.20	Modena - Fano	2:0
10.11.19	Modena - Fano	2:1
23.04.17	Fano - Modena	0:0
07.12.16	Modena - Fano	0:0

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Modena
Italian Serie B
31.10.26	Modena - Mantova	✺

Fano - Modena