The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Fano 25.6%
Draw 31.4%
Modena 43%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
27.1%
30.2%
42.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
20.5%
22.9%
56.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
Modena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fano than the current prediction. (-5.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Fano that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Modena than the current prediction. (+13.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Modena could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Fano - Modena Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Preview
Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Serie C to Play Out and 4 in the zone Promotion to Serie C to Promotion to Play Offs).
Fano is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recent matches Modena is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Fano could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Modena will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 5 head-to-head matches Fano won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-4.
Including matches at home between the teams Fano won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.