Match Info

Serie B - Round 29

Date: 7 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadio Alberto Braglia (Modena)

Referee: Marcenaro M. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	DAZN Italia, LAB Channel
World	Onefootball


	Modena		Cesena

	1	X	2
	1.76	3.1	5.5	Watch
	1.71	3.6	4.75
	1.8	3.25	4.55	Watch
	1.85	3.36	5.1
	1.88	3.35	4.3	Watch
	1.8	3.4	4
	1.82	3.24	4.77	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↑ (1.71)	3.33 ↓ (3.55)	4.71 ↓ (4.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Modena
52%

Draw
28.1%

Cesena
19.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.2%

26.1%

19.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.4%

25.5%

19.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Modena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Cesena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Modena than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cesena than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	28.6%	28.6%

Modena - Cesena Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Modena will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Cesena will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Modena (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Modena (1.31) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Modena (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Chichizola L. (G) 77. Tonoli D. 28. Adorni D. 25. Dellavalle A. 7. Zampano F. 17. Massolin Y. 16. Gerli F. (C) 8. Santoro S. 98. Zanimacchia L. 99. De Luca M. 10. Ambrosino G.	33. Klinsmann J. (G) 15. Ciofi A. (C) 19. Zaro G. 26. Piacentini M. 11. Ciervo R. 70. Francesconi M. 4. Castagnetti M. 14. Berti T. 99. Frabotta G. 7. Cerri A. 9. Shpendi C.
Substitutes
2. Beyuku G. 33. Cauz C. 29. Cotali M. 92. Defrel G. 9. Gliozzi E. 90. Imputato A. 13. Laidani A. (G) 11. Mendes P. 19. Nador S. 22. Pezzolato M. (G) 71. Wiafe S.	16. Amoran P. 6. Arrigoni T. 10. Bastoni S. 25. Bisoli D. 27. Corazza T. 40. Ferretti L. (G) 39. Fontana N. (G) 18. Guidi M. 24. Mangraviti M. 32. Olivieri M. 22. Vrioni G. 17. Wade I.
Coaches
Sottil A.	Mignani M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
64', De Luca M. ↓, Gliozzi E. ↑,
65', Ambrosino G. ↓, Mendes P. ↑,
65', Ciervo R. ↓, Guidi M. ↑,
74', Cerri A. ↓, Vrioni G. ↑,
75', Berti T. ↓, Bisoli D. ↑,
89', Zampano F. 🟨,

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals))

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Modena won 2.

In recent matches, Modena has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Cesena has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Modena is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Modena: Nieling B. (Yellow Cards) Pyyhtia N. (Inactive) Sersanti A. (Inactive)

There will not play in Cesena: Castrovilli G. (Inactive) Magni V. (Injury)

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Modena won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 12:12. (average 0.8:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Modena won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:2. (average 0.9:0.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Modena	5	3	1	1	8:4	4	10
11	Cesena	6	1	4	1	7:8	-1	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Modena
Italian Serie B
03.03.26	Virtus Entella - Modena	2:1 ✺
28.02.26	Modena - Padova	1:2 ✺
22.02.26	Juve Stabia - Modena	1:2 ✺
14.02.26	Modena - Carrarese	2:0 ✺
10.02.26	Venezia - Modena	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 LLWWW
- AC Cesena
Italian Serie B
03.03.26	Cesena - Monza	1:3 ✺
28.02.26	Empoli - Cesena	1:1 ✺
21.02.26	Cesena - Spezia	2:3 ✺
14.02.26	Cesena - Venezia	0:4 ✺
10.02.26	Virtus Entella - Cesena	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
28.11.25	Cesena - Modena	1:0
13.05.25	Modena - Cesena	0:1
13.09.24	Cesena - Modena	2:2
Italian Serie C Group B
07.02.22	Modena - Cesena	1:0
28.09.21	Cesena - Modena	1:2
21.03.21	Modena - Cesena	1:0
29.11.20	Cesena - Modena	0:0

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