Match Info

Date: 3 April 2021, Saturday


	Modena		Arezzo

	1	X	2
	1.72	3.4	4.5
	1.67	3.4	4.6
	1.67	3.4	4.6
	1.77	3.15	4.3
	1.81	3.4	4.62
	1.8	3.2	4.75
	1.79	3.32	4.5	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↑ (1.68)	3.32 ↓ (3.38)	4.55 ↓ (4.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Modena
52.4%

Draw
27.5%

Arezzo
20.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.6%

26.7%

19.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.1%

17.5%

29.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Modena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Arezzo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Modena than the current prediction. (-17.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Modena that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arezzo than the current prediction. (+9.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Arezzo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Modena - Arezzo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion to Serie C to Promotion to Play Offs and 19 in the zone Serie C to Play Out).

Modena is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Arezzo is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Modena is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Modena won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Modena
Italian Serie C Group B
27.03.21	Fermana - Modena	1:0 ✺
21.03.21	Modena - Cesena	1:0 ✺
17.03.21	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Modena	2:0 ✺
14.03.21	Modena - Mantova	1:1 ✺
07.03.21	Carpi - Modena	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 LWLTL
- SS Arezzo
Italian Serie C Group B
28.03.21	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Arezzo	1:0 ✺
21.03.21	Arezzo - Imolese	0:0 ✺
17.03.21	Fano - Arezzo	0:1 ✺
13.03.21	Arezzo - Fermana	1:0 ✺
07.03.21	Sambenedettese - Arezzo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
13.12.20	Arezzo - Modena	0:1

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