Match Info

Date: 17 March 2021, Wednesday 🏁 Finished


	Fano		Arezzo

	1	X	2
	2.3	3	2.9
	2.25	2.9	3.1
	2.45	2.88	2.8
	2.49	2.65	3
	2.65	2.79	3.19
	2.35	3	3.1
	2.74	2.5	3.2	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.46 ↑ (2.27)	2.82 ↓ (3.24)	3.04 ↓ (3.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fano
37.3%

Draw
32.6%

Arezzo
30.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

40.9%

28.7%

30.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.8%

20.2%

43.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Arezzo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fano than the current prediction. (-8.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Fano that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arezzo than the current prediction. (+13%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Arezzo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Fano - Arezzo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 17 in the zone Serie C to Play Out and 20 in the zone Relegation).

Fano is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Arezzo is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Fano could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Fano won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alma Juventus Fano 1906
Italian Serie C Group B
14.03.21	Legnago Salus - Fano	3:0 ✺
10.03.21	Imolese - Fano	1:1 ✺
07.03.21	Fano - Fermana	1:1 ✺
03.03.21	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Fano	3:0 ✺
28.02.21	Fano - Ravenna	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LTTLT
- SS Arezzo
Italian Serie C Group B
13.03.21	Arezzo - Fermana	1:0 ✺
07.03.21	Sambenedettese - Arezzo	1:0 ✺
03.03.21	Arezzo - Mantova	1:1 ✺
28.02.21	Triestina - Arezzo	2:2 ✺
21.02.21	Arezzo - Matelica	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 WLTTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
16.12.20	Arezzo - Fano	1:1
Club Friendly
10.03.18	Arezzo - Fano	0:1

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SS Arezzo
Italian Serie B
01.11.26	Arezzo - Ascoli	✺
28.10.26	Carrarese - Arezzo	✺

Fano - Arezzo