Match Info

Liga Premier Serie A - Clausura - Round 12

Date: 28 March 2025, Friday


	Faraones de Texcoco		Tritones Vallarta

	1	X	2
	1.69	3.5	4.5
	1.69	3.59	4.62	Watch
	1.65	3.56	4.72	Watch
	1.69	3.5	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↓ (2.33)	3.54 ↑ (3.13)	4.59 ↑ (2.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Faraones de Texcoco
54.3%

Draw
25.8%

Tritones Vallarta
19.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.3%

29.2%

31.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.5%

29.1%

31.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Faraones de Texcoco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Faraones de Texcoco's performance.

Tritones Vallarta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tritones Vallarta might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Faraones de Texcoco than the current prediction. (-14.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Faraones de Texcoco that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tritones Vallarta than the current prediction. (+11.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tritones Vallarta could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Faraones de Texcoco - Tritones Vallarta Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
18', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
76', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Premier Serie A (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Premier Serie A (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Faraones is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Tritones Vallarta is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Faraones could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Faraones will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Faraones won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Faraones de Texcoco
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
22.03.25	Inter Playa Del Carmen - Faraones de Texcoco	1:0 ✺
14.03.25	Faraones de Texcoco - Deportiva Venados	2:0 ✺
07.03.25	Faraones de Texcoco - Racing de Veracruz	0:0 ✺
21.02.25	Faraones de Texcoco - San Juan de Aragón	3:0 ✺
16.02.25	Zapotlanejo - Faraones de Texcoco	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LWTWW
- Tritones Vallarta MFC
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
22.03.25	Tritones Vallarta - Leones Negros 2	1:2 ✺
01.03.25	Tritones Vallarta - Tigres de Álica	2:1 ✺
23.02.25	Real Apodaca - Tritones Vallarta	1:0 ✺
15.02.25	Tritones Vallarta - Cimarrones de Sonora	0:0 ✺
07.02.25	Tecos FC - Tritones Vallarta	2:3 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 LWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
16.11.24	Tritones Vallarta - Faraones de Texcoco	4:2

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