Match Info

Liga Portugal 2 - Round 5

Date: 4 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estádio de São Luís (Faro) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Narciso A. (Por)


	Farense		Chaves

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.10	3.40
	1.95	3.10	3.40
	1.95	3.20	3.40
	2.03	3.55	3.86
	2.17	3.34	3.3	Watch
	1.98	3.50	3.75
	2.12	3.20	3.51	Watch
	2.07	3.20	3.30
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↓ (2.12)	3.27 ↑ (3.26)	3.49 ↑ (3.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Farense
45.3%

Draw
28.2%

Chaves
26.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

43.7%

28.4%

27.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.9%

28.3%

27.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Farense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Chaves has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Farense than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chaves than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Farense - Chaves Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Farense will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Chaves will win (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
97. Buntic F. (G) 78. Alex Pinto 17. Candeias A. 29. Claudio Falcao (C) 22. Herrero T. 27. Mattheus 11. Oliveira N. 7. Resende J. 37. Silva G. 10. Singh S. 44. Zolotic N.	1. Valido J. (G) 34. Alves R. (C) 30. Costinha 19. Garcia G. 5. Kiko 23. Leo Alaba 9. Marcos Andre 10. Rodrigues A. 18. Tavares W. 29. Tounkara M. 16. Yearwood D.
Substitutes
36. Antunes B. 18. Cuba 3. D'Agrella L. 43. Dario Miranda 5. Da Rocha Borges R. 6. Derick Poloni 9. Gabriel Barbosa 8. Menino M. 15. Nduquidi J. 19. Oliveira L. 88. Rafinha 1. Tannander J. (G)	27. Armando Jr 4. Bruno Rodrigues 7. Esajas R. 80. Fofana M. 99. GB 88. Gudzulic M. (G) 2. Herbert A. 8. Joao Teixeira 11. Pelagio P. 17. Roberto 33. Simoes T. 13. Vazquez I.
Coaches
Jose Faria	Martins V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
3', Zolotic N. 🟨,
6', 1 - 0, Candeias A. ⚽, Mattheus (A),
45+2', 2 - 0, Silva G. ⚽, Candeias A. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Marcos Andre ↓, GB ↑,
46', Yearwood D. ↓, Fofana M. ↑,
46', Garcia G. ↓, Pelagio P. ↑,
49', 3 - 0, Claudio Falcao ⚽, Candeias A. (A),
58', Costinha 🟨,
59', Costinha ↓, Roberto ↑,
59', Rodrigues A. ↓, Joao Teixeira ↑,
60', Zolotic N. ↓, Da Rocha Borges R. ↑,
60', Oliveira N. ↓, Gabriel Barbosa ↑,
67', Resende J. ↓, Derick Poloni ↑,
67', Mattheus ↓, Nduquidi J. ↑,
71', Fofana M. 🟨,
80', 4 - 0, Derick Poloni ⚽, Singh S. (A),
82', Singh S. ↓, Rafinha ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Farense won 1.

Farense has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Chaves has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Farense might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Farense won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 15:19. (average 1:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Farense won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:10. (average 1.1:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	SC Farense	8	4	2	2	14:10	4	14
14	Chaves	8	2	2	4	8:15	-7	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Farense
Portuguese Liga 2
13.09.26	AVS - Farense	0:0 ✺
30.08.26	Sporting Lisbon B - Farense	2:1 ✺
24.08.26	Farense - Felgueiras	1:1 ✺
16.08.26	Porto B - Farense	1:3 ✺
09.08.26	Farense - Torreense	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 TLTWW
- Desportivo Chaves
Club Friendly
25.09.26	Chaves - Vitoria Guimarães	0:1 ✺
Taça de Portugal
20.09.26	Guarda FC - Chaves	2:3 ✺
Portuguese Liga 2
13.09.26	Chaves - Feirense	1:0 ✺
30.08.26	Felgueiras - Chaves	2:1 ✺
23.08.26	Chaves - AVS	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
22.02.26	Chaves - Farense	2:0
28.09.25	Farense - Chaves	0:2
Liga Portugal
04.02.24	Chaves - Farense	1:1
26.08.23	Farense - Chaves	5:0
Portuguese Liga 2
30.04.22	Farense - Chaves	1:2
18.12.21	Chaves - Farense	2:1
Portuguese League Cup
24.07.21	Chaves - Farense	1:2

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