Match Info

Liga Revelacao U23 - Losers stage - Round 12

Date: 15 April 2025, Tuesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11


	Farense U23		Braga U23

	1	X	2
	2.9	3.4	2.05
	3.1	3.45	2.06
	3.19	3.52	2.14	Watch
	3.1	3.44	2.06	Watch
	3.1	3.45	2.06
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.08 ↑ (2.22)	3.45 ↓ (3.5)	2.07 ↓ (2.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Farense U23
29.6%

Draw
26.4%

Braga U23
44%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.6%

25.7%

33.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.2%

27.3%

31.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Farense U23 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Farense U23's form might have worsened.

Braga U23 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Braga U23's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Farense U23 than the current prediction. (+13.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Farense U23, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Braga U23 than the current prediction. (-12.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Braga U23, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Farense U23 - Braga U23 Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Braga U23 (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
73', 1 - 0, Gabriel Cardoso ⚽,
83', 2 - 0, Candeias A. ⚽,

Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Farense U23 won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1:4 (average 0.3:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Farense U23 won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Farense U23
Portuguese Liga Next Gen U23
08.04.25	Portimonense U23 - Farense U23	0:0 ✺
01.04.25	Farense U23 - Santa Clara U23	5:1 ✺
18.03.25	Farense U23 - Académico de Viseu U23	1:2 ✺
11.03.25	Farense U23 - Mafra U23	0:1 ✺
04.03.25	Rio Ave U23 - Farense U23	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 TWLLW
- Braga U23
Portuguese Liga Next Gen U23
08.04.25	Braga U23 - Rio Ave U23	1:2 ✺
01.04.25	Leixões U23 - Braga U23	2:2 ✺
11.03.25	Braga U23 - Académico de Viseu U23	0:0 ✺
04.03.25	Mafra U23 - Braga U23	1:2 ✺
25.02.25	Braga U23 - Portimonense U23	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LTTWW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga Next Gen U23
04.02.25	Braga U23 - Farense U23	1:0
04.03.24	Farense U23 - Braga U23	1:1
15.01.24	Braga U23 - Farense U23	2:0

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