Match Info

ENGLAND: FA Cup - Qualification - Final

Date: 12 October 2024, Saturday


	Farsley		Kettering Town

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.5	2.6
	2.25	3.25	2.65
	2.35	3.6	2.65
	2.35	3.65	2.76
	2.39	3.57	2.72	Watch
	2.15	3.4	2.88
	2.39	3.38	2.66	Watch
	2.35	3.6	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.32 ↑ (1.71)	3.49 ↓ (3.75)	2.7 ↓ (3.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Farsley
39.7%

Draw
26.3%

Kettering Town
34.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.9%

24.1%

23%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.8%

24.5%

22.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Farsley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Farsley's form might have worsened.

Kettering Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Kettering Town's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Farsley than the current prediction. (+14.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Farsley, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kettering Town than the current prediction. (-11.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kettering Town, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Farsley - Kettering Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
2', 0 - 1, York W. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
56', 1 - 1, Stephenson D. ⚽,
82', Branson C. 🟥,
90+3', 1 - 2, Williams I. N. ⚽,

Preview

Replayed if draw.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Farsley won 1.

Recent matches Farsley is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Kettering is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recently Farsley have a series of guest games.

Recently Kettering have a series of home games.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Farsley won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7:5 (average 1.2:0.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Farsley won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6:3 (average 2:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Farsley AFC
English National League North
05.10.24	Chester - Farsley	0:0 ✺
English FA Cup
28.09.24	Wythenshawe Town - Farsley	0:1 ✺
English National League North
21.09.24	Farsley - Leamington	0:1 ✺
07.09.24	Needham Market - Farsley	0:1 ✺
03.09.24	Southport - Farsley	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 TWLWT
- Kettering Town
English FA Trophy
05.10.24	Kettering Town - Gainsborough Trinity	0:2 ✺
English FA Cup
28.09.24	St Ives Town - Kettering Town	0:3 ✺
English Southern League Central Division
24.09.24	Kettering Town - Stamford	2:0 ✺
21.09.24	Kettering Town - Lowestoft Town	4:1 ✺
English FA Cup
14.09.24	Kettering Town - Cleethorpes Town	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
21.02.23	Kettering Town - Farsley	0:0
25.10.22	Farsley - Kettering Town	2:0
09.04.22	Farsley - Kettering Town	1:1
28.08.21	Kettering Town - Farsley	1:1
04.01.20	Kettering Town - Farsley	1:0
07.09.19	Farsley - Kettering Town	3:2

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