Match Info

ENGLAND: National League North - Round 31

Date: 8 February 2025, Saturday


	Farsley		Needham Market

	1	X	2
	3.9	3.4	1.75
	4	3.3	1.77
	3.9	3.35	1.79
	3.98	3.63	1.81
	4.2	3.61	1.82
	3.3	3.1	2.15
	4.41	3.54	1.75
	3.9	3.35	1.79
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.95 ↑ (2.72)	3.41 ↑ (3.29)	1.83 ↓ (2.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Farsley
23.2%

Draw
26.8%

Needham Market
50%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.4%

27.7%

38.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.2%

27.6%

39.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Farsley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Farsley's form might have worsened.

Needham Market has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Needham Market's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Farsley than the current prediction. (+10%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Farsley, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Needham Market than the current prediction. (-10.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Needham Market, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Farsley - Needham Market Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
10', 0 - 1, Allen T. ⚽,
20', 0 - 2, Chambers S. ⚽,
40', 1 - 2, Fox R. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 4)
53', 1 - 3, Allen T. ⚽,
59', 1 - 4, Lambe R. ⚽,
62', 1 - 5, Chambers S. ⚽,
77', 1 - 6, Cross L. ⚽,

Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation and 24 in the zone Relegation).

Farsley is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Needham is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Farsley could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Farsley have a series of home games.

Needham will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Farsley won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Farsley AFC
English National League North
04.02.25	Peterborough Sports - Farsley	2:0 ✺
31.01.25	Farsley - Alfreton Town	1:4 ✺
28.01.25	Farsley - Marine	1:1 ✺
25.01.25	Farsley - Warrington Town	0:0 ✺
17.01.25	Farsley - Scarborough Athletic	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LLTTL
- Needham Market
English National League North
04.02.25	Brackley Town - Needham Market	2:1 ✺
01.02.25	Needham Market - Warrington Town	2:1 ✺
28.01.25	Scunthorpe United - Needham Market	2:0 ✺
25.01.25	Alfreton Town - Needham Market	2:3 ✺
18.01.25	Needham Market - Radcliffe	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 LWLWT

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
07.09.24	Needham Market - Farsley	0:1

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