Match Info

ENGLAND: National League North - Round 30

Date: 31 January 2025, Friday


	Farsley		Alfreton Town

	1	X	2
	6.5	4.2	1.38
	7	4.1	1.38
	7.5	4.33	1.4	Watch
	7.8	4.51	1.4
	7.57	4.4	1.42	Watch
	8	4.2	1.4
	6.99	4.52	1.42
	7.5	4.33	1.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.36 ↑ (4.25)	4.32 ↑ (3.6)	1.4 ↓ (1.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Farsley
12.6%

Draw
21.4%

Alfreton Town
66%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.5%

25.4%

53.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.8%

24.6%

54.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Farsley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Farsley's form might have worsened.

Alfreton Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alfreton Town's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Farsley than the current prediction. (+8.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Farsley, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alfreton Town than the current prediction. (-11.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alfreton Town, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	20%	80%

Farsley - Alfreton Town Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Alfreton will win (votes: 4 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
6', 0 - 1, Waldock L. ⚽,
39', 0 - 2, Day J. ⚽,
43', 0 - 3, Waldock L. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
64', 0 - 4, Salmon L. ⚽,
66', 1 - 4, Silva J. ⚽,

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 19 and 13).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Farsley won 0.

Farsley is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Alfreton has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Alfreton could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Farsley have a series of home games.

In this match Alfreton is a favorite.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Farsley won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 11:17 (average 1:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Farsley won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3:7 (average 0.8:1.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Farsley AFC
English National League North
28.01.25	Farsley - Marine	1:1 ✺
25.01.25	Farsley - Warrington Town	0:0 ✺
17.01.25	Farsley - Scarborough Athletic	0:5 ✺
04.01.25	Farsley - Rushall Olympic	1:3 ✺
01.01.25	Radcliffe - Farsley	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 TTLLL
- Alfreton Town
English National League North
25.01.25	Alfreton Town - Needham Market	2:3 ✺
18.01.25	Chester - Alfreton Town	2:0 ✺
14.01.25	Alfreton Town - Brackley Town	3:4 ✺
01.01.25	Alfreton Town - Curzon Ashton	0:1 ✺
26.12.24	Buxton - Alfreton Town	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
31.08.24	Alfreton Town - Farsley	2:1
09.03.24	Farsley - Alfreton Town	2:3
28.10.23	Alfreton Town - Farsley	2:0
07.01.23	Alfreton Town - Farsley	1:0
13.08.22	Farsley - Alfreton Town	0:0
12.03.22	Alfreton Town - Farsley	0:0
25.09.21	Farsley - Alfreton Town	0:3

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