Match Info

ENGLAND: National League North - Round 28

Date: 25 January 2025, Saturday


	Farsley		Warrington Town

	1	X	2
	3.3	3.5	1.91
	3.3	3.4	1.9
	3.54	3.55	2
	3.51	3.55	2	Watch
	3.8	3.4	1.85
	3.49	3.48	1.97
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.49 ↓ (4.51)	3.48 ↓ (3.77)	1.94 ↑ (1.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Farsley
26.3%

Draw
26.4%

Warrington Town
47.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.3%

24.3%

55.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.2%

22.9%

58.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Farsley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Farsley's performance.

Warrington Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Warrington Town might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Farsley than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Farsley that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Warrington Town than the current prediction. (+11.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Warrington Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Farsley - Warrington Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 20 and 19).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Farsley won 2.

One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.

Farsley could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Warrington is a favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Farsley won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 10:13 (average 1.4:1.9).

Including matches at home between the teams Farsley won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3:7 (average 1:2.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Farsley AFC
English National League North
17.01.25	Farsley - Scarborough Athletic	0:5 ✺
04.01.25	Farsley - Rushall Olympic	1:3 ✺
01.01.25	Radcliffe - Farsley	3:0 ✺
26.12.24	Curzon Ashton - Farsley	1:3 ✺
21.12.24	Farsley - Brackley Town	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.3 LLLWT
- Warrington Town
English National League North
18.01.25	Kidderminster Harriers - Warrington Town	2:0 ✺
04.01.25	Warrington Town - King`s Lynn Town	1:2 ✺
01.01.25	Warrington Town - Marine	0:2 ✺
26.12.24	Southport - Warrington Town	2:0 ✺
21.12.24	Warrington Town - Buxton	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
26.08.24	Warrington Town - Farsley	1:2
12.03.24	Farsley - Warrington Town	0:2
24.10.23	Warrington Town - Farsley	1:1
English NPL Premier Division
05.01.19	Farsley - Warrington Town	3:3
18.08.18	Warrington Town - Farsley	0:2
14.04.18	Farsley - Warrington Town	0:2
09.09.17	Warrington Town - Farsley	4:2

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