Match Info

ENGLAND: National League North - Round 24

Date: 1 January 2025, Wednesday


	Warrington Town		Marine

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.7	2.1
	2.9	3.2	2.1
	3	3.3	2.25
	3.05	3.4	2.26	Watch
	3.1	3.1	2.25
	3.03	3.24	2.25
	3	3.3	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.97 ↑ (2.31)	3.32 ↓ (3.65)	2.21 ↓ (2.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Warrington Town
30.9%

Draw
27.6%

Marine
41.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.1%

25.3%

34.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.8%

24.5%

35.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Warrington Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Warrington Town's form might have worsened.

Marine has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Marine's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Warrington Town than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Warrington Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marine than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Marine, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	50%	50%

Warrington Town - Marine Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Marine will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
45+2', 0 - 1, Mattock J. ⚽,
45+4', 0 - 2, Whelan L. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 19 and 22 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Warrington won 3.

Warrington is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Marine has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Warrington won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 11:2 (average 1.4:0.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Warrington won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:0 (average 0.5:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Warrington Town
English National League North
26.12.24	Southport - Warrington Town	2:0 ✺
21.12.24	Warrington Town - Buxton	1:0 ✺
14.12.24	Peterborough Sports - Warrington Town	3:1 ✺
10.12.24	Warrington Town - Curzon Ashton	0:1 ✺
30.11.24	Warrington Town - Chester	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 LWLLT
- Marine FC
English National League North
26.12.24	Marine - Chester	2:3 ✺
21.12.24	South Shields - Marine	2:0 ✺
14.12.24	Marine - Scunthorpe United	1:2 ✺
10.12.24	Alfreton Town - Marine	1:0 ✺
30.11.24	Southport - Marine	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
10.04.23	Marine - Warrington Town	1:2
26.12.22	Warrington Town - Marine	0:0
01.12.18	Marine - Warrington Town	0:2
15.09.18	Warrington Town - Marine	1:0
01.01.18	Warrington Town - Marine	0:0
28.08.17	Marine - Warrington Town	0:4
31.01.17	Warrington Town - Marine	1:0

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