Match Info

ENGLAND: National League North - Round 24

Date: 1 January 2025, Wednesday


	Radcliffe		Farsley

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.8	4
	1.63	3.7	4.2
	2.45	3.75	2.5
	1.7	3.88	4.6	Watch
	1.7	3.6	4.5
	1.65	3.94	4.5
	2.45	3.75	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↓ (2.34)	3.77 ↑ (3.7)	3.83 ↑ (2.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Radcliffe
50.1%

Draw
25.1%

Farsley
24.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.3%

24.9%

35.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.8%

24%

34.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Radcliffe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Radcliffe's performance.

Farsley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Farsley might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Radcliffe than the current prediction. (-9.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Radcliffe that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Farsley than the current prediction. (+9.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Farsley could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.9%	0%	11.1%

Radcliffe - Farsley Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Radcliffe will win (votes: 8 - 88.9%). Farsley will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Radcliffe: 68.4% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
15', 1 - 0, Jackson B. ⚽,
28', 2 - 0, Sargent M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
65', 3 - 0, Hulme J. ⚽,

Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation and 20).

Recent matches Radcliffe is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Farsley is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Radcliffe will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Radcliffe won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Radcliffe FC
English National League North
21.12.24	Alfreton Town - Radcliffe	2:1 ✺
14.12.24	Radcliffe - Kidderminster Harriers	0:4 ✺
English FA Trophy
07.12.24	Solihull Moors - Radcliffe	1:2 ✺
English National League North
30.11.24	Radcliffe - Darlington	1:4 ✺
26.11.24	Peterborough Sports - Radcliffe	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.5 LLWLT
- Farsley AFC
English National League North
26.12.24	Curzon Ashton - Farsley	1:3 ✺
21.12.24	Farsley - Brackley Town	1:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
17.12.24	Gateshead - Farsley	8:1 ✺
English National League North
14.12.24	Farsley - Buxton	1:2 ✺
30.11.24	Oxford City - Farsley	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.3 WTLLL

Latest Head to Head

English FA Trophy
18.11.23	Farsley - Radcliffe	2:4

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