Match Info

EUROPE: EUROPA CONFERENCE LEAGUE - QUALIFICATION - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 10 August 2023, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Central Stadium Hagi Academy (Ovidiu) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Ioannis P. (Gre)


	Farul Constanța		Flora Tallinn

	1	X	2
	1.29	5.25	11	Watch
	1.3	5.25	8
	1.32	5.5	7.5
	1.33	5	8.5
	1.33	5.49	8.02
	1.31	5.25	9.4	Watch
	1.33	5.2	10
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.32 ↓ (1.55)	5.28 ↑ (3.65)	8.92 ↑ (6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Farul Constanța
71.6%

Draw
17.8%

Flora Tallinn
10.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

59.4%

25.2%

15.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.1%

24.5%

14.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Farul Constanța has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Farul Constanța's performance.

Flora Tallinn has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Farul Constanța than the current prediction. (-10.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Farul Constanța that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Flora Tallinn than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Farul Constanța - Flora Tallinn Predictions

Users Predictions: Farul Constanța will win (20 of 25 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.32% – 95.68%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Aioani M. (G) 25. Kiki D. 17. Larie I. (C) 3. Popescu M. 27. Borza S. 6. Baluta T. 16. Nedelcu D. 18. Artean A. 26. Mazilu A. 7. Alibec D. 10. Budescu C.	33. Grunvald E. (G) 26. Hussar K. 2. Kuusk M. 43. Seppik M. 27. Lilander M. 4. Lukka M. 13. Mihhailov N. 14. Vassiljev K. (C) 10. Miller M. 8. Ojamaa H. 9. Alliku R.
Substitutes
19. Andronache L. 21. Boli K. 1. Buzbuchi A. (G) 23. Carnat N. 99. Dussaut D. 24. Grameni C. 80. Popescu N. 5. Queiros D. 9. Rivaldinho 77. Sali E. 22. Sirbu D. 8. Vina I.	25. Kallaste K. 98. Kivila K. (G) 23. Kolobov M. 74. Kuraksin D. 77. Lapa K. (G) 3. Lipp M. 30. Pajo T. 1. Paplavskis I. K. (G) 24. Purg H. 57. Varjund T. 66. Veering R. 20. Zenjov S.
Coaches
Hagi G.	Henn J.

Preview

1st leg. Playing home matches at a different stadium.

Recent matches Farul is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Flora is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Farul could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Flora have a series of home games.

In this match Farul is indisputable favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Farul Constanța
Romanian SuperLiga
06.08.23	Petrolul Ploieşti - Farul Constanța	3:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
03.08.23	Urartu Yerevan - Farul Constanța	2:3 ✺
Romanian SuperLiga
30.07.23	Farul Constanța - Politehnica Iași	1:3 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
27.07.23	Farul Constanța - Urartu Yerevan	3:2 ✺
Romanian SuperLiga
22.07.23	Farul Constanța - Voluntari	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LWLWW
- Flora Tallinn
Estonian Meistriliiga
04.08.23	Flora Tallinn - Kuressaare	4:0 ✺
28.07.23	Flora Tallinn - Pärnu Vaprus	1:1 ✺
23.07.23	Flora Tallinn - Narva Trans	1:4 ✺
UEFA Champions League
18.07.23	Flora Tallinn - Raków Częstochowa	0:3 ✺
11.07.23	Raków Częstochowa - Flora Tallinn	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 WTLLL

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Farul Constanța
Romanian SuperLiga
02.11.26	Voluntari - Farul Constanța	✺
- Flora Tallinn
Estonian Meistriliiga
01.11.26	Flora Tallinn - Narva Trans	✺

Farul Constanța - Flora Tallinn