Match Info

Date: 1 November 2026, Sunday ⏱️ In 2d 21h 📅 Remind Me


	Flora Tallinn		Narva Trans

	1	X	2
	1.34	4.75	6.50
	1.28	5.25	7.8
	1.27	5.97	8.93
	1.31	5.5	7.6	Watch
	1.24	5.85	8.75
	1.26	5.25	8.15
	1.33	5	6.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.29 ↓ (1.56)	5.37 ↑ (4.05)	7.79 ↑ (4.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Flora Tallinn
71.1%

Draw
17.1%

Narva Trans
11.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

58.6%

22.5%

18.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.1%

20.8%

25.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Flora Tallinn has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Flora Tallinn's performance.

Narva Trans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Narva Trans might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Flora Tallinn than the current prediction. (-17%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Flora Tallinn that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Narva Trans than the current prediction. (+13.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Narva Trans could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

Flora Tallinn - Narva Trans Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Flora (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Narva Trans is Relegated to Esiliiga.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Flora won 4.

Recent results have been tough for Flora (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Narva Trans has suffered a run of successive defeats (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

In this matchup, Flora is considered the favorite to take the win.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Flora has recorded 14 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 54:23 (averaging 2.7:1.2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Flora against this opponent, the record stands at 8 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with 34:16 goals (averaging 3.1:1.5 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Flora	34	19	1	14	64:49	15	58
10	Narva ✔	34	5	5	24	26:76	-50	20

Last Results with these Odds

Flora Tallinn - the odds 1.56 are the expected chance of winning is 58.57%, but this team recently wins 69% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Flora Tallinn
Estonian Meistriliiga
25.10.26	Nõmme Kalju - Flora Tallinn	2:1 ✺
21.10.26	Harju JK Laagri - Flora Tallinn	3:1 ✺
18.10.26	Flora Tallinn - Tammeka	2:0 ✺
15.10.26	Flora Tallinn - Levadia Tallinn	1:3 ✺
11.10.26	Kuressaare - Flora Tallinn	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LLWLL
- Narva Trans
Estonian Meistriliiga
27.10.26	Narva Trans - Nõmme United	0:1 ✺
23.10.26	Tammeka - Narva Trans	5:1 ✺
18.10.26	Paide LM - Narva Trans	2:1 ✺
14.10.26	Narva Trans - Kuressaare	0:1 ✺
10.10.26	Pärnu Vaprus - Narva Trans	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Estonian Meistriliiga
08.09.26	Narva Trans - Flora Tallinn	2:2
16.05.26	Narva Trans - Flora Tallinn	0:3
Estonian Cup
05.05.26	Flora Tallinn - Narva Trans	1:0
Estonian Meistriliiga
22.04.26	Flora Tallinn - Narva Trans	6:0
21.10.25	Flora Tallinn - Narva Trans	4:0
02.08.25	Narva Trans - Flora Tallinn	1:1
18.06.25	Narva Trans - Flora Tallinn	1:2

Flora Tallinn - Narva Trans