Match Info

Estonian Cup - Semi-finals

Date: 5 May 2026, Tuesday

Location: A. Le Coq Arena (Tallinn)


	Flora Tallinn		Narva Trans

	1	X	2
	1.29	5.15	6.9	Watch
	1.35	5.2	9.56
	1.31	5.1	7.87	Watch
	1.3	4.4	8
	1.37	5.13	7.01
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.32 ↑ (1.21)	5 ↓ (5.13)	7.87 ↓ (13.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Flora Tallinn
69.8%

Draw
18.5%

Narva Trans
11.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

75.5%

17.8%

6.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Flora Tallinn has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Flora Tallinn's form might have worsened.

Narva Trans has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Flora Tallinn - Narva Trans Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Flora (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 - Flora (1.82) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 0.5, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Flora Tallinn will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Flora (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Narva Trans (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Kivila K. (G) 7. Kuraksin D. 23. Kolobov M. 24. Pihela O. 3. Kollo A. 26. Tovstik S. 67. Antonov I. 11. Sappinen R. (C) 32. Kreida V. 21. Kaares A. 17. Usta T.	27. Pareiko D. (G) 25. Burjanadze S. 5. Campagna C. 12. Eriks Santos 4. Ivanyushin A. 8. Agaptsev S. 6. Slein G. 39. Poliakov D. (C) 17. Skinjov A. 9. Doke J. 10. Gero A.
Substitutes
29. Alamaa S. 33. Grunvald E. (G) 89. Kalimullin M. 22. Tatrik A. (G) 8. Teevali T. 5. Vaher A. 18. Valdmets R. 14. Varjund T. 6. Veering R. 20. Zenjov S.	47. Baljabkin N. 88. Besigirskis A. 19. Elysee 14. Filatov A. 23. Jegorov A. 16. Kondrattsev S. 29. Kudriashov V. 28. Miranda da Silva K. 2. Shantenkov V. 7. Velijev M. 1. Zahharov M. (G)
Coaches
Vasiliev K.	Kozhukhovskyi R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Poliakov D. ↓, Elysee ↑,
65', Kaares A. ↓, Alamaa S. ↑,
67', 1 - 0, Tovstik S. ⚽,
72', Kuraksin D. ↓, Zenjov S. ↑,
76', Doke J. ↓, Baljabkin N. ↑,
79', Sappinen R. 🟨,
85', Agaptsev S. ↓, Jegorov A. ↑,
85', Skinjov A. ↓, Filatov A. ↑,
86', Usta T. ↓, Varjund T. ↑,
86', Antonov I. ↓, Valdmets R. ↑,
90+2', Baljabkin N. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Flora won 3.

Flora is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Narva Trans has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Flora is the obvious favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Flora won 14 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 53:22. (average 2.7:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Flora won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 35:17. (average 2.9:1.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Flora Tallinn
Estonian Meistriliiga
30.04.26	Flora Tallinn - Harju JK Laagri	5:0 ✺
26.04.26	Paide LM - Flora Tallinn	1:2 ✺
22.04.26	Flora Tallinn - Narva Trans	6:0 ✺
19.04.26	Levadia Tallinn - Flora Tallinn	4:0 ✺
12.04.26	Flora Tallinn - Pärnu Vaprus	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WWWLW
- Narva Trans
Estonian Meistriliiga
01.05.26	Narva Trans - Nõmme Kalju	0:3 ✺
26.04.26	Levadia Tallinn - Narva Trans	7:0 ✺
22.04.26	Flora Tallinn - Narva Trans	6:0 ✺
18.04.26	Narva Trans - Kuressaare	1:2 ✺
11.04.26	Nõmme United - Narva Trans	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Estonian Meistriliiga
22.04.26	Flora Tallinn - Narva Trans	6:0
21.10.25	Flora Tallinn - Narva Trans	4:0
02.08.25	Narva Trans - Flora Tallinn	1:1
18.06.25	Narva Trans - Flora Tallinn	1:2
01.03.25	Flora Tallinn - Narva Trans	2:2
17.09.24	Narva Trans - Flora Tallinn	1:1
03.08.24	Flora Tallinn - Narva Trans	3:1

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