Match Info

Premier League - Round 26

Date: 9 April 2026, Thursday


	Fasil Kenema		Hawassa City

	1	X	2
	2.68	2.68	2.72
	2.68	2.75	2.81
	2.74	2.71	2.84	Watch
	2.7	2.5	2.75
	2.64	2.72	2.73	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.69 ↓ (2.86)	2.67 ↓ (2.82)	2.77 ↑ (2.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fasil Kenema
33.6%

Draw
33.8%

Hawassa City
32.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.2%

32.7%

35.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.7%

32.2%

34.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fasil Kenema has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Hawassa City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fasil Kenema than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hawassa City than the current prediction. (+2%)

Fasil Kenema - Hawassa City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
67', 1 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 6 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fasil Kenema won 2.

Fasil Kenema is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Hawassa City has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Fasil Kenema won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 19:18. (average 1.4:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Fasil Kenema won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:4. (average 1.2:0.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Hawassa	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	Fasil Kenema	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fasil Kenema FC
Ethiopian Premier League
03.04.26	Dire Dawa City - Fasil Kenema	0:0 ✺
13.03.26	Fasil Kenema - Mechal	0:0 ✺
09.03.26	Shire Endaselassie - Fasil Kenema	1:1 ✺
04.03.26	Sidama Coffee - Fasil Kenema	1:0 ✺
27.02.26	Fasil Kenema - Welwalo Adigrat	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 TTTLL
- Hawassa City SC
Ethiopian Premier League
05.04.26	Hawassa City - Welwalo Adigrat	2:2 ✺
14.03.26	Ethiopia Nigd Bank - Hawassa City	4:2 ✺
10.03.26	Hawassa City - Mekelle 70 Enderta	1:0 ✺
04.03.26	Welayta Dicha - Hawassa City	1:1 ✺
28.02.26	Hawassa City - Sidama Coffee	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 TLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Ethiopian Premier League
26.11.25	Hawassa City - Fasil Kenema	0:1
26.05.25	Hawassa City - Fasil Kenema	1:1
03.01.25	Fasil Kenema - Hawassa City	0:0
01.03.24	Fasil Kenema - Hawassa City	2:1
07.10.23	Hawassa City - Fasil Kenema	3:3
26.04.23	Fasil Kenema - Hawassa City	1:0
06.11.22	Hawassa City - Fasil Kenema	2:0

Fasil Kenema - Hawassa City: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide