Match Info
Premier League - Round 26Date: 9 April 2026, Thursday
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Fasil Kenema |
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Hawassa City |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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2.68 |
2.68 |
2.72 |
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2.68 |
2.75 |
2.81 |
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2.74 |
2.71 |
2.84 |
 Watch |
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2.7 |
2.5 |
2.75 |
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2.64 |
2.72 |
2.73 |
Watch |
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.69 ↓
(2.86) |
2.67 ↓
(2.82) |
2.77 ↑
(2.62) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
- The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Fasil Kenema
33.6% | Draw
33.8% | Hawassa City
32.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fasil Kenema has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)Hawassa City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fasil Kenema than the current prediction. (-0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hawassa City than the current prediction. (+2%)Predictions
Score Prediction (the most likely result by bookmakers): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 67', 1 - 0, ⚽,
Preview
The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 6 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification: )).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fasil Kenema won 2.Fasil Kenema is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).Hawassa City has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1). The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Fasil Kenema won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 19:18. (average 1.4:1.3).Including home matches between the teams, Fasil Kenema won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:4. (average 1.2:0.7).
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Standings
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 3 | Hawassa | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 30:21 | 9 | 41 |
| 4 | Fasil Kenema | 26 | 9 | 12 | 5 | 18:15 | 3 | 39 |
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Last Results with these Odds
Hawassa City - the odds 2.62 are the expected chance of winning is 35.15%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Ethiopian Premier League | | | 26.11.25 | Hawassa City - Fasil Kenema | 0:1 | | 26.05.25 | Hawassa City - Fasil Kenema | 1:1 | | 03.01.25 | Fasil Kenema - Hawassa City | 0:0 | | 01.03.24 | Fasil Kenema - Hawassa City | 2:1 | | 07.10.23 | Hawassa City - Fasil Kenema | 3:3 | | 26.04.23 | Fasil Kenema - Hawassa City | 1:0 | | 06.11.22 | Hawassa City - Fasil Kenema | 2:0 |
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