Match Info

Premier League - Round 22

Date: 4 March 2026, Wednesday


	Sidama Coffee		Fasil Kenema

	1	X	2
	2.38	2.68	3.15
	2.67	2.02	4.41
	2.41	2.58	3.52	Watch
	2.5	2.45	3.1
	2.4	2.56	3.41	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.47 ↑ (2.26)	2.46 ↓ (2.77)	3.52 ↑ (3.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sidama Coffee
36.9%

Draw
37.1%

Fasil Kenema
25.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.3%

32.9%

26.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.2%

31.4%

25.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sidama Coffee has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Fasil Kenema has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sidama Coffee than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sidama Coffee, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fasil Kenema than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	50%	0%

Sidama Coffee - Fasil Kenema Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Sidama Coffee will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90+1', 1 - 0, Nago B. ⚽,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: ) and 5).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sidama Coffee won 0.

Recent performances by Sidama Coffee have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Fasil Kenema is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Sidama Coffee is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Sidama Coffee won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 14:23. (average 0.9:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Sidama Coffee won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 6:9. (average 1:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Sidama Bunna	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	Fasil Kenema	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

Last Results with these Odds

Sidama Coffee - the odds 2.26 are the expected chance of winning is 40.31%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sidama Coffee FC
Ethiopian Premier League
28.02.26	Hawassa City - Sidama Coffee	1:2 ✺
22.02.26	Sidama Coffee - Welwalo Adigrat	0:0 ✺
04.02.26	Ethio Electric - Sidama Coffee	0:0 ✺
31.01.26	Sidama Coffee - Bahir Dar Kenema	1:1 ✺
27.01.26	Negele Arsi Ketema - Sidama Coffee	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WTTTL
- Fasil Kenema FC
Ethiopian Premier League
27.02.26	Fasil Kenema - Welwalo Adigrat	1:2 ✺
21.02.26	Ethiopia Nigd Bank - Fasil Kenema	3:1 ✺
09.02.26	Fasil Kenema - Hadiya Hossana	0:1 ✺
05.02.26	Ethiopian Medhin - Fasil Kenema	0:0 ✺
01.02.26	Fasil Kenema - Saint George	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Ethiopian Premier League
29.10.25	Fasil Kenema - Sidama Coffee	1:0
24.06.25	Fasil Kenema - Sidama Coffee	1:1
30.11.24	Sidama Coffee - Fasil Kenema	0:1
17.03.24	Fasil Kenema - Sidama Coffee	2:2
19.10.23	Sidama Coffee - Fasil Kenema	0:1
22.05.23	Fasil Kenema - Sidama Coffee	0:1
29.11.22	Sidama Coffee - Fasil Kenema	2:4

Sidama Coffee - Fasil Kenema: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide