Match Info

Premier League - Round 21

Date: 27 February 2026, Friday


	Fasil Kenema		Welwalo Adigrat

	1	X	2
	2.12	2.72	3.65
	2.28	2.64	3.74
	2.2	2.73	3.75	Watch
	2.2	2.45	3.5
	2.26	2.7	3.9	Watch
	2.08	2.75	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↑ (2.08)	2.67 ↓ (2.75)	3.72 ↓ (3.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fasil Kenema
41.5%

Draw
34.1%

Welwalo Adigrat
24.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.4%

32.8%

23.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.7%

32.6%

23.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fasil Kenema has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Welwalo Adigrat has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fasil Kenema than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Welwalo Adigrat than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Fasil Kenema - Welwalo Adigrat Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Fasil Kenema (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Fasil Kenema (1.44) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Fasil Kenema (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
40', 1 - 0, Mulu J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
68', 1 - 1, Hailemariam E. ⚽,
90+2', 1 - 2, Haflz K. ⚽,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 4 and 19 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fasil Kenema won 5.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Fasil Kenema could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Fasil Kenema won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:1. (average 1.2:0.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Fasil Kenema won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0. (average 1:0).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Fasil Kenema	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	Welwalo Adigrat	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

Last Results with these Odds

Fasil Kenema - the odds 2.08 are the expected chance of winning is 43.41%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fasil Kenema FC
Ethiopian Premier League
21.02.26	Ethiopia Nigd Bank - Fasil Kenema	3:1 ✺
09.02.26	Fasil Kenema - Hadiya Hossana	0:1 ✺
05.02.26	Ethiopian Medhin - Fasil Kenema	0:0 ✺
01.02.26	Fasil Kenema - Saint George	1:0 ✺
25.01.26	Arba Minch - Fasil Kenema	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LLTWW
- Welwalo Adigrat University FC
Ethiopian Premier League
22.02.26	Sidama Coffee - Welwalo Adigrat	0:0 ✺
05.02.26	Saint George - Welwalo Adigrat	1:1 ✺
01.02.26	Welwalo Adigrat - Arba Minch	1:2 ✺
25.01.26	Hadiya Hossana - Welwalo Adigrat	1:2 ✺
21.01.26	Welwalo Adigrat - Sheger Ketema	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 TTLWT

Latest Head to Head

Ethiopian Premier League
23.10.25	Welwalo Adigrat - Fasil Kenema	0:2
03.04.25	Welwalo Adigrat - Fasil Kenema	1:2
05.12.24	Fasil Kenema - Welwalo Adigrat	1:0
03.02.20	Fasil Kenema - Welwalo Adigrat	1:0
12.05.19	Fasil Kenema - Welwalo Adigrat	1:0
06.01.19	Welwalo Adigrat - Fasil Kenema	0:0

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