Match Info

Premier League - Round 25

Date: 5 April 2026, Sunday


	Hawassa City		Welwalo Adigrat

	1	X	2
	2.15	2.68	3.65
	2.2	2.69	3.59
	2.24	2.69	3.72	Watch
	2.15	2.5	3.6
	2.16	2.7	3.74
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↑ (2.11)	2.65 ↓ (2.91)	3.66 ↓ (3.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hawassa City
41.4%

Draw
34%

Welwalo Adigrat
24.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.6%

31.6%

24.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.1%

32.7%

24%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hawassa City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Welwalo Adigrat has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hawassa City than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Welwalo Adigrat than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Hawassa City - Welwalo Adigrat Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
29', 1 - 0, Yared B. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
86', 1 - 1, Gebremedhin N. ⚽,
90+2', 1 - 2, Gebru D. ⚽,
90+5', 2 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification: ) and 18 in the zone Relegation).

In recent matches, Hawassa City has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Welwalo Adigrat is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Hawassa City is a strong favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hawassa City won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:1. (average 1.2:0.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Hawassa City won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).

Standings

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Hawassa	38	12	14	12	37:32	5	50
16	Welwalo Adigrat	38	10	16	12	32:36	-4	46

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hawassa City SC
Ethiopian Premier League
14.03.26	Ethiopia Nigd Bank - Hawassa City	4:2 ✺
10.03.26	Hawassa City - Mekelle 70 Enderta	1:0 ✺
04.03.26	Welayta Dicha - Hawassa City	1:1 ✺
28.02.26	Hawassa City - Sidama Coffee	1:2 ✺
22.02.26	Hawassa City - Dire Dawa City	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LWTLT
- Welwalo Adigrat University FC
Ethiopian Premier League
14.03.26	Welwalo Adigrat - Dire Dawa City	1:0 ✺
08.03.26	Mechal - Welwalo Adigrat	0:0 ✺
03.03.26	Welwalo Adigrat - Shire Endaselassie	1:0 ✺
27.02.26	Fasil Kenema - Welwalo Adigrat	1:2 ✺
22.02.26	Sidama Coffee - Welwalo Adigrat	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.2 WTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Ethiopian Premier League
21.11.25	Welwalo Adigrat - Hawassa City	0:1
09.06.25	Welwalo Adigrat - Hawassa City	0:1
21.01.25	Hawassa City - Welwalo Adigrat	1:1
04.01.20	Welwalo Adigrat - Hawassa City	0:0
28.10.18	Hawassa City - Welwalo Adigrat	3:0

Hawassa City - Welwalo Adigrat: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide