Match Info

Premier League - Round 25

Date: 3 April 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished


	Dire Dawa City		Fasil Kenema

	1	X	2
	3.4	2.58	2.32
	3.79	2.58	2.31
	3.4	2.45	2.3
	3.47	2.58	2.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.52 ↑ (3.3)	2.55 ↓ (2.64)	2.32 ↓ (2.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dire Dawa City
25.7%

Draw
35.4%

Fasil Kenema
38.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

27.4%

34.2%

38.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.8%

33.5%

39.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dire Dawa City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Fasil Kenema has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dire Dawa City than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fasil Kenema than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Dire Dawa City - Fasil Kenema Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 15 and 6).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dire Dawa won 2.

The current form of both teams is below expectations.

Fasil Kenema will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Dire Dawa won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 15:19. (average 0.9:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Dire Dawa won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:9. (average 1.4:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
15	Fasil Kenema	3	0	2	1	1:2	-1	2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dire Dawa City
Ethiopian Premier League
14.03.26	Welwalo Adigrat - Dire Dawa City	1:0 ✺
09.03.26	Dire Dawa City - Ethiopia Nigd Bank	1:2 ✺
05.03.26	Mekelle 70 Enderta - Dire Dawa City	1:2 ✺
26.02.26	Dire Dawa City - Welayta Dicha	0:2 ✺
22.02.26	Hawassa City - Dire Dawa City	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.3 LLWLT
- Fasil Kenema FC
Ethiopian Premier League
13.03.26	Fasil Kenema - Mechal	0:0 ✺
09.03.26	Shire Endaselassie - Fasil Kenema	1:1 ✺
04.03.26	Sidama Coffee - Fasil Kenema	1:0 ✺
27.02.26	Fasil Kenema - Welwalo Adigrat	1:2 ✺
21.02.26	Ethiopia Nigd Bank - Fasil Kenema	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 TTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Ethiopian Premier League
22.11.25	Fasil Kenema - Dire Dawa City	0:0
21.04.25	Fasil Kenema - Dire Dawa City	0:1
31.01.25	Dire Dawa City - Fasil Kenema	1:2
05.04.24	Fasil Kenema - Dire Dawa City	1:2
05.01.24	Dire Dawa City - Fasil Kenema	0:3
28.05.23	Dire Dawa City - Fasil Kenema	2:1
09.12.22	Fasil Kenema - Dire Dawa City	1:2

Dire Dawa City - Fasil Kenema