Match Info

Super Lig - Round 14

Date: 30 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Atatürk Olimpiyat (Istanbul)

Referee: Meler H. U. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Albania	SuperSport 4
Argentina	Disney+, FOX Sports 3
Asia	TOD
Brazil	Disney+
Canada	beIN Connect
Chile	ESPN 3
Colombia	ESPN 3
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 6, Free
Hong-kong	beIN SPORTS MAX
Mexico	Disney+
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
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Philippines	beIN SPORTS MAX
Portugal	Sport TV5
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Sport 6
Slovenia	SportKlub 4
South-america	ESPN 6 South
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 7, Fanatiz
Venezuela	Disney+, Inter


	Fatih Karagümrükspor		Beşiktaş

	1	X	2
	4.5	3.9	1.62	Watch
	4.72	4.11	1.64
	4.7	4.22	1.7
	4.60	4.19	1.66	Watch
	4.96	4.08	1.71	Watch
	4.33	4.2	1.63
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.64 ↑ (4.6)	4.12 ↓ (4.19)	1.66 (1.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fatih Karagümrükspor
20.3%

Draw
22.9%

Beşiktaş
56.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.5%

22.5%

56.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20%

21.9%

58.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fatih Karagümrükspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Beşiktaş has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fatih Karagümrükspor than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Beşiktaş than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
13.6%	13.6%	72.7%

Fatih Karagümrükspor - Beşiktaş Predictions

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Karagümrük will win (votes: 3 - 13.6%). Beşiktaş will win (votes: 16 - 72.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 13.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Beşiktaş: 54.1% – 91.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Beşiktaş will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Grbic I. (G) 47. Esgaio R. 6. Cankaya A. R. (C) 3. Roco E. 29. Balkovec J. 14. Doh M. 5. Kranevitter M. 37. Camacho J. 21. Cukur T. 70. Serginho 19. Fofana D. D.	30. Destanoglu E. (G) 25. Sazdagi G. 3. Gabriel Paulista 53. Topcu E. 39. Jurasek D. 4. Ndidi W. 10. Kokcu O. (C) 11. Under C. 18. Cerny V. 26. Jota Silva 19. Toure E. B.
Substitutes
94. Cinar A. 24. Ersoy B. 91. Gray A. 11. Johnson D. 32. Kadioglu M. 72. Kalayci B. 20. Kalpakli T. 8. Ozcan B. 27. Ugrekhelidze N. 96. Yandal K. (G)	9. Abraham T. 22. Bulut T. 35. Djalo T. 1. Gunok M. (G) 17. Kayra Yilmaz K. 7. Rashica M. 52. Sahin D. 5. Tiknaz D. E. 8. Ucan S. 14. Uduokhai F.
Coaches
Canel A.	Yalcin S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
13', Camacho J. 🟨,
18', Kranevitter M. 🟨,
29', Cukur T. ↓, Ozcan B. ↑,
41', 0 - 1, Jota Silva ⚽, Cerny V. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Camacho J. ↓, Gray A. ↑,
57', Under C. (Pen),
60', Gabriel Paulista ↓, Djalo T. ↑,
70', Cerny V. ↓, Abraham T. ↑,
70', Kranevitter M. ↓, Johnson D. ↑,
71', 0 - 2, Toure E. B. ⚽, Under C. (A),
83', Balkovec J. 🟨,
86', Under C. ↓, Tiknaz D. E. ↑,
87', Jota Silva ↓, Rashica M. ↑,
88', Doh M. ↓, Kalpakli T. ↑,
88', Fofana D. D. ↓, Kalayci B. ↑,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ 1. Lig and 7).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Karagümrük won 0.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Beşiktaş may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Beşiktaş is the team to beat.

There will not play in Karagümrük: Beklevic F. (Suspended) Sivri A. (Injury) Ugrekhelidze N. (Injury)

There will not play in Beşiktaş: Hekimoglu M. (Muscle Injury) Rafa Silva (Hip Injury) Uysal N. (Contusion)

There are questionable in Karagümrük: Kurukalip C. (Injury) Larsson S. (Injury)

There are questionable in Beşiktaş: Svensson J. (Inactive)

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Karagümrük won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 7:18. (average 0.7:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Karagümrük won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:7. (average 0.5:1.8).

Last Results with these Odds

Beşiktaş - the odds 1.66 are the expected chance of winning is 56.91%, but this team recently wins 45% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fatih Karagümrükspor
Turkish Super League
22.11.25	Eyüpspor - Fatih Karagümrükspor	1:1 ✺
09.11.25	Fatih Karagümrükspor - Konyaspor	2:0 ✺
03.11.25	Çaykur Rizespor - Fatih Karagümrükspor	1:0 ✺
24.10.25	Fatih Karagümrükspor - Kayserispor	2:2 ✺
19.10.25	Fenerbahçe - Fatih Karagümrükspor	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 TWLTL
- Beşiktaş
Turkish Super League
23.11.25	Beşiktaş - Samsunspor	1:1 ✺
08.11.25	Antalyaspor - Beşiktaş	1:3 ✺
02.11.25	Beşiktaş - Fenerbahçe	2:3 ✺
26.10.25	Kasımpaşa - Beşiktaş	1:1 ✺
22.10.25	Konyaspor - Beşiktaş	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 TWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
28.03.24	Beşiktaş - Fatih Karagümrükspor	1:1
Turkish Super League
13.01.24	Beşiktaş - Fatih Karagümrükspor	3:0
14.08.23	Fatih Karagümrükspor - Beşiktaş	0:1
31.01.23	Fatih Karagümrükspor - Beşiktaş	1:1
Club Friendly
02.12.22	Beşiktaş - Fatih Karagümrükspor	1:1
Turkish Super League
21.08.22	Beşiktaş - Fatih Karagümrükspor	4:1
18.01.22	Fatih Karagümrükspor - Beşiktaş	0:1

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